TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7d5…306d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Valorant at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked TNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$169
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.98
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Benched gods - Map 2 Winnerbacked Benched gods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Benched gods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.96
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs m1x (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked m1x · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winnerbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$156.92
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$148.75
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)backed MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$290.39
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs AaB Esport (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$105.21
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Abacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$42.86
Counter-Strike: TNC vs Clutchain (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked TNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.74
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$136.67
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides - Map 2 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.2
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs yngods (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked aimclub · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$62.88
Map Handicap: OLDBOYS- (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)backed OLDBOYS- · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$141.62
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ESC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+171.1%+$74.07
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.36
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$16.44
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+39.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Vitality.Bee - Game 2 Winnerbacked ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$141
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$146.71
Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs ZennIT (+1.5)backed ZennIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.96
Game Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5)backed UB Alma Mater · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.94
Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5)backed GIANTX iTero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$18.35
LoL: Lupus Esports vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EBL Regular Seasonbacked Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$70.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.