CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4485e189d6d450f764330270a8b797d03685d6823bad7f06daa6dad12b784e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ESC Gamingof ESC Gaming, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Ursa | 60c | 5,851$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510.38 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ursa | 59c | 3,413$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.36 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked ESC Gaming | 40c | 2,069$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.64 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ESC Gaming | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa | 63c | 1,551$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.31 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ursa | 33c | 1,224$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.31 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed ESC Gaming | 39c | 1,052$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.75 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed ESC Gaming | 37c | 980.08$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.45 | 653 | 46.9%306 W · 347 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…9407backed Ursa | 32c | 951.72$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Ursa | 27c | 812.9$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.04 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbc…7e80backed Ursa | 60c | 618.19$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.91 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…7a7bbacked ESC Gaming | 40c | 598.64$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.19 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed ESC Gaming | 38c | 570.21$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.28 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked ESC Gaming | 42c | 540.25$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.35 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…0b26backed ESC Gaming | 73c | 509.21$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed ESC Gaming | 40c | 472.36$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.42 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed ESC Gaming | 41c | 444.65$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.34 | 308 | 41.6%128 W · 180 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…6628backed ESC Gaming | 42c | 442.04$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.38 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ESC Gaming | 71c | 441.11$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.06 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…9819backed Ursa | 23c | 406.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…6197backed ESC Gaming | 40c | 397.65$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed Ursa | 27c | 390.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…5d92backed ESC Gaming | 41c | 385.2$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.27 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Ursa | 77c | 382.56$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.92 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…7653backed ESC Gaming | 41c | 379.04$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.63 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Ursa | 60c | 363$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Ursa | 62c | 354.82$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 645 | 54.4%351 W · 294 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 26c | 326.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked ESC Gaming | 61c | 303.82$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…4c34backed ESC Gaming | 41c | 291.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80b2…8561backed ESC Gaming | 41c | 258.8$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed ESC Gaming | 37c | 252.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.92 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked ESC Gaming | 74c | 231.67$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 1,038 | 57.4%596 W · 442 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked ESC Gaming | 40c | 220$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked ESC Gaming | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Ursa | 61c | 195.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ESC Gaming | 40c | 192.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.68 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed ESC Gaming | 40c | 188.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.37 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed ESC Gaming | 41c | 178.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked ESC Gaming | 40c | 173.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…90c2backed Ursa | 30c | 160.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ESC Gaming | 74c | 160.02$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…ce94backed ESC Gaming | 40c | 156.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ursa | 61c | 148.44$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.55 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed ESC Gaming | 40c | 148.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Ursa | 56c | 138.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Ursa | 28c | 127.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Ursa | 61c | 126.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ursa | 9c | 125.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ESC Gaming | 79c | 121.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked ESC Gaming | 41c | 120.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac96…40c4backed Ursa | 24c | 118.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ESC Gaming | 73c | 117.44$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…306dbacked ESC Gaming | 37c | 117.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Ursa | 61c | 116.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…52a5backed Ursa | 31c | 105.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f0…eb05backed ESC Gaming | 75c | 101.23$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Ursa | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed ESC Gaming | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ESC Gaming | 40c | 99.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed ESC Gaming | 44c | 98.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 735 | 48.4%356 W · 379 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…d047backed Ursa | 74c | 96.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3524backed ESC Gaming | 40c | 91.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked ESC Gaming | 41c | 89.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed ESC Gaming | 38c | 86.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed ESC Gaming | 38c | 84.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed ESC Gaming | 40c | 81.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed ESC Gaming | 73c | 81.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Ursa | 38c | 79.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Ursa | 29c | 78.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d8…7105backed ESC Gaming | 80c | 75.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…1e7cbacked Ursa | 32c | 74.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed ESC Gaming | 75c | 72.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc0…ac69backed Ursa | 19c | 68.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed ESC Gaming | 73c | 67.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…34a7backed ESC Gaming | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…b277backed ESC Gaming | 72c | 62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked ESC Gaming | 68c | 60.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xede3…a4e7backed ESC Gaming | 66c | 59.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Ursa | 38c | 56.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed ESC Gaming | 43c | 52.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked ESC Gaming | 78c | 49.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed ESC Gaming | 40c | 46.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Ursa | 61c | 44.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked ESC Gaming | 40c | 43.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…3d45backed ESC Gaming | 68c | 40.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…19a0backed ESC Gaming | 79c | 39.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.27per pick | 63cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed ESC Gaming | 68c | 39.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Ursa | 31c | 37.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…8faebacked ESC Gaming | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed ESC Gaming | 39c | 36.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked ESC Gaming | 70c | 34.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked ESC Gaming | 73c | 33.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Ursa | 63c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked ESC Gaming | 40c | 31.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Ursa | 34c | 30.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…af78backed ESC Gaming | 40c | 30.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked ESC Gaming | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed ESC Gaming | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Ursa | 57c | 29.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Ursa - Map 1 WinnerESC Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerESC Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.