TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13fa…3524

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.61
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.27
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$130.42
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Fisher College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.12
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Ground Zero (+1.5)backed Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs m1x (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked m1x · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs m1x - Map 2 Winnerbacked m1x · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102.51
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stagebacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.64
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs ELITEN (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked ELITEN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.44
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ESC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$54.95
Map Handicap: AAB (-1.5) vs WAZABI (+1.5)backed WAZABI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.33
Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs Vexar (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffsbacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$125.28
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.09
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$146.69
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$114.36
LoL: Uwinks vs L Guide Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked L Guide Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.64
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$113.63
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.8
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.12
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.62
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.24
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$126.12
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.92
Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)backed Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$120.54
Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs FALKE Esports (+1.5)backed FALKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.27
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: CGN (-1.5) vs RIZON (+1.5)backed CGN Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$115.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.