CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: AAB (-1.5) vs WAZABI (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2827a4e66515d5a04fa8166886a7c1518e922232b326c3419b1674824665f05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AaB Esportof AaB Esport, WAZABI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed AaB Esport | 53c | 5,013$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.56 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked WAZABI | 47c | 3,772$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.26 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked WAZABI | 46c | 1,315$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.81 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…3545backed AaB Esport | 53c | 1,301$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.78 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed AaB Esport | 53c | 691.25$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.77 | 466 | 65.5%305 W · 161 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed WAZABI | 49c | 622.93$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.23 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed WAZABI | 48c | 517.83$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked WAZABI | 46c | 338.66$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.78 | 351 | 43%151 W · 200 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked WAZABI | 47c | 280.78$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed WAZABI | 50c | 278.56$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.97 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked WAZABI | 50c | 206.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 482 | 46.5%224 W · 258 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3524backed WAZABI | 49c | 200.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed WAZABI | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 385 | 52.2%201 W · 184 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked WAZABI | 49c | 146.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 640 | 41.9%268 W · 372 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed WAZABI | 47c | 138.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…93bcbacked WAZABI | 47c | 118.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed WAZABI | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 609 | 38.3%233 W · 376 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked AaB Esport | 53c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed WAZABI | 50c | 81.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed WAZABI | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -13.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed WAZABI | 50c | 28.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed AaB Esport | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 774 | 46.1%357 W · 417 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed AaB Esport | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AAB (-1.5) vs WAZABI (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs WAZABI (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship PlayoffsAaB Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.