TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e07…3545

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst UFC at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT7647.4%36 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.31
Map Handicap: AAB (-1.5) vs WAZABI (+1.5)backed AaB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$613.78
Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs Vexar (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffsbacked ZOTIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,035.82
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Basement Bobs - Map 1 Winnerbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20.68
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Basement Bobs (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,016Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$2,399.36
Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FarmVille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.17
Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FarmVille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$386.23
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs bond1e (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Play-Inbacked bond1e · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.51
Counter-Strike: Young TigeRES vs Vexar (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffsbacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$996.67
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs ImmuNe (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked Sashi Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$176.27
Counter-Strike: Ølgod Efterskole vs SAW (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked Ølgod Efterskole · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.2
Counter-Strike: WAZABI vs AaB Esport (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked WAZABI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$205.97
Counter-Strike: ImmuNe vs WAZABI (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked WAZABI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$155.63
Counter-Strike: Young TigeRES vs Vexar - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$270
Counter-Strike: Young TigeRES vs Vexar - Map 1 Winnerbacked Young TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$403.8
Counter-Strike: shimmer vs insane players (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group Bbacked shimmer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.07
Counter-Strike: Akimbo Esports vs InControl (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group Abacked Akimbo Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,084Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$1,107.79
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Hashiras (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked Hashiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+148.9%+$468.13
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.61
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ASTRAL (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Play-Inbacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$261.07
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.37
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$169.63
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.88
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+119.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XtremeDogs vs Bitfix Gaming (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group Bbacked XtremeDogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,774Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+103.8%+$1,842.01
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Lost Puppies - Map 2 Winnerbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$42.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.