CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14608c7d45958f8c0260bbc2c54377677b6b81e451e0d10507b067ee9aa3e350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof PARIVISION, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked TheMongolz | 71c | 4,111$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.31 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed PARIVISION | 28c | 1,594$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.33 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 33c | 1,422$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.64 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked TheMongolz | 73c | 1,300$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.9 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed PARIVISION | 27c | 1,052$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.94 | 557 | 36.3%202 W · 355 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked PARIVISION | 30c | 975.26$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.83 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz | 71c | 934.13$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.61 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed PARIVISION | 27c | 816.43$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.44 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed PARIVISION | 28c | 687.67$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.34 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…a999backed TheMongolz | 73c | 606.45$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.74 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed TheMongolz | 77c | 493.1$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 394 | 54.3%214 W · 180 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…3545backed PARIVISION | 28c | 366.45$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…6796backed PARIVISION | 36c | 332.28$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed TheMongolz | 72c | 266$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked PARIVISION | 28c | 258.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed PARIVISION | 58c | 245.21$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…7334backed PARIVISION | 28c | 169.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked TheMongolz | 73c | 153.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed TheMongolz | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 153 | 73.2%112 W · 41 L | +18.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed TheMongolz | 48c | 122.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed PARIVISION | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TheMongolz | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked PARIVISION | 38c | 68.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 473 | 46.5%220 W · 253 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed PARIVISION | 44c | 65.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed PARIVISION | 28c | 62.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed TheMongolz | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed PARIVISION | 22c | 53.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4b87…997ebacked TheMongolz | 69c | 49.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed TheMongolz | 69c | 32.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked TheMongolz | 51c | 31.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed TheMongolz | 74c | 29.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216c…5a7fbacked TheMongolz | 73c | 22.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 20.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed TheMongolz | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.