TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$332,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$402,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,937 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52ec…a6f3backed PARIVISION47c30,298$14,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,137.2446949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz53c14,577$7,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,851.1976058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed PARIVISION48c11,975$5,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,748.1319949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed TheMongolz65c11,803$7,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,114.7812571.2%89 W · 36 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed PARIVISION45c10,969$4,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,936.1822049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf394…cdb1backed TheMongolz54c10,413$5,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,789.966650%33 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed PARIVISION44c8,435$3,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,717.678750.6%44 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked TheMongolz55c7,298$4,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,283.8714954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed TheMongolz54c7,049$3,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,242.7767041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x246b…fb5bbacked TheMongolz80c6,250$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.353762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed TheMongolz52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.988862.5%55 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked PARIVISION45c5,468$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.532552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed PARIVISION37c5,260$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.2933452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed PARIVISION47c4,996$2,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,347.2417643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed TheMongolz52c4,458$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.8575450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x023e…7334backed PARIVISION41c3,686$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.765064%32 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed TheMongolz53c3,570$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.9137646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked TheMongolz53c3,207$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.2616447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked PARIVISION46c3,036$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.3732548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed PARIVISION46c3,017$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.8413453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION26c2,946$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.493,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed TheMongolz53c2,945$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.544555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed TheMongolz52c2,844$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.0451252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked TheMongolz70c2,794$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.8819355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3878…1ab8backed TheMongolz52c2,750$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32017840.4%72 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed TheMongolz58c2,681$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.9457358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed TheMongolz55c2,447$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.1645058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed PARIVISION48c2,419$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.0737445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed PARIVISION24c2,356$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.7460838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed PARIVISION50c2,287$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.3633043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed PARIVISION40c2,261$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.7956732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked TheMongolz55c2,191$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.621,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73e8…2d6fbacked PARIVISION46c2,016$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.93837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed TheMongolz54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.8646749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f7…7714backed PARIVISION17c1,978$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4919048.9%93 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed TheMongolz50c1,940$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.477561.3%46 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed TheMongolz54c1,726$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.0741850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed TheMongolz69c1,698$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.762,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed PARIVISION45c1,671$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.7755845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION31c1,626$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.316,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked TheMongolz66c1,567$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.61,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ce…fa8cbacked PARIVISION48c1,520$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.47520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked TheMongolz54c1,513$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.7778963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9997040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TheMongolz65c1,448$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.321,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked PARIVISION48c1,413$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.1628443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed TheMongolz54c1,382$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.0155043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e76…05aabacked TheMongolz56c1,371$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.352572%18 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9b…3de2backed PARIVISION46c1,345$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.688842%37 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x568e…6980backed PARIVISION39c1,252$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.413627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked TheMongolz75c1,219$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.446036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed TheMongolz57c1,218$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.0124457%139 W · 105 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed TheMongolz51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58825248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2510…60adbacked TheMongolz69c1,189$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.052231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked PARIVISION43c1,126$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.8765650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x918e…c0f6backed PARIVISION27c1,107$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.33195.3%1 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-91.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked PARIVISION46c1,067$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.9529839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed PARIVISION48c1,013$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.3436554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked PARIVISION22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22037441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked TheMongolz52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4808562.4%53 W · 32 L+14.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked TheMongolz70c999.98$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9940950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed PARIVISION33c999.97$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.996245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked PARIVISION47c999.93$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9711249.1%55 W · 57 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked TheMongolz55c973$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8514144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked PARIVISION30c960.91$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.3827740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3081…c666backed TheMongolz55c904.89$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.24955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed PARIVISION46c885.56$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.361,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz55c849.67$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.535,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed PARIVISION44c829.99$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.532042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed PARIVISION17c799.43$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7896545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5593…2cd1backed PARIVISION41c792.81$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.799256.5%52 W · 40 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked TheMongolz55c786.02$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.3698052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e97…0bd0backed PARIVISION47c745.33$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.32638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked TheMongolz51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34381244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked TheMongolz53c680.26$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.7210250%51 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed TheMongolz75c653.29$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.121460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3727…0197backed TheMongolz49c631.3$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.96633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe35…5d8bbacked PARIVISION20c624.81$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.651735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed PARIVISION27c617.2$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.592711.1%3 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-70%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked PARIVISION48c601.21$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.719047.9%91 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f96…0fa4backed TheMongolz50c599.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed PARIVISION16c593.5$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9613238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed PARIVISION47c585.45$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.1646149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed TheMongolz55c583.8$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.7131444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked TheMongolz53c583.08$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.0527658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed PARIVISION21c571.4$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.431,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked PARIVISION34c569.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.662,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked PARIVISION9c562.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4169624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked TheMongolz53c550.08$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5417357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked TheMongolz54c537.06$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.282458.3%14 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36fb…a785backed PARIVISION35c530.03$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.33944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed PARIVISION4c520.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8411133.3%37 W · 74 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked PARIVISION32c518.44$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16631253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed PARIVISION45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22511645.7%53 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed PARIVISION48c485.37$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.9878639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed PARIVISION33c459.72$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0348826.2%128 W · 360 L-44.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed TheMongolz59c451.14$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8887047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz64c446.18$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.983,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked TheMongolz62c443.69$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.771,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked TheMongolz55c442.27$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.028161.7%50 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.