CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d9b00899dd4733e2f14141033038665b16124c0f79d5e882bc6878670add59d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 51c | 100,344$51,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,175.66 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 49c | 97,397$47,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,672.54 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed Under | 50c | 3,753$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.16 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 50c | 3,075$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.5 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 47c | 893.12$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.91 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Under | 51c | 762.35$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 50c | 547.08$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.54 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Under | 50c | 414.83$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.41 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…5faabacked Under | 31c | 340.22$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Under | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked Over | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Under | 53c | 274.67$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.58 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 252.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.39 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 51c | 181.94$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 49c | 138.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 46c | 122.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…9213backed Under | 49c | 116.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Under | 47c | 114.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Over | 54c | 99.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 50c | 95.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Over | 50c | 91.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 49c | 91.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Over | 50c | 85.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Over | 50c | 85.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b7…9581backed Over | 55c | 79.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 48c | 76.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…098abacked Over | 62c | 72.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b9…dffdbacked Over | 50c | 61.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…4469backed Over | 50c | 60.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…1532backed Over | 50c | 58.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…f43cbacked Over | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Over | 49c | 50.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 49c | 50.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…6d93backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Under | 50c | 48.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 53c | 47.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 58c | 44.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Over | 53c | 39.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…5d8bbacked Under | 42c | 38.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…d8a9backed Under | 52c | 38.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…6882backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Over | 53c | 36.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Over | 53c | 34.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…a846backed Over | 52c | 31.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 50c | 31.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…2ae1backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…32b5backed Over | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…e467backed Over | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…46eabacked Over | 50c | 29.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Over | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 50c | 28.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a4dbbacked Under | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Under | 51c | 22.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Over | 53c | 22.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…4c25backed Over | 50c | 22.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…8923backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.