TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1293…32b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT3461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Astralis win PGL Bucharest 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.29
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$17.62
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.42
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.55
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$29.73
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.93
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.76
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.91
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Tricked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$7.03
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$14.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.57
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$19.99
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.73
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$21.69
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BIG (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$97.43
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Robert Lewandowski: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$161.92
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.76
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$17.68
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$28.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+185.7%+$92.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-82.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.55
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
Will Moderates win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Danish People’s Party win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liberal Alliance win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Venstre win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.25
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.61
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$6.25
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.06
Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+147.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT ads by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+147.4%+$29.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+138.1%+$30.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.