CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x277a46e3c582f5e78cccca06b64fc6e56b560535576eb67cafde9d3a16b01eb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 3,059$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.63 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Under | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 66c | 1,861$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.82 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 34c | 1,300$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked Under | 79c | 1,173$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.89 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 35c | 1,115$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.14 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 65c | 996.77$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.67 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03e…1091backed Under | 67c | 981.82$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.16 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 66c | 555$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Over | 30c | 530.5$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 607 | 48.1%292 W · 315 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 35c | 415.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 42c | 399.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.07 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 35c | 393.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.79 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 36c | 360.35$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.64 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 23c | 318.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…2ae1backed Under | 66c | 300$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed Under | 78c | 299.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Under | 68c | 294.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 75c | 274.33$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 1,484 | 58%861 W · 623 L | +66.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 77c | 246.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.18 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…f793backed Under | 78c | 246.02$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 69c | 233.55$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 22c | 221.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 29c | 219.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 257 | 33.9%87 W · 170 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed Under | 79c | 179.08$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 44c | 176.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…38d1backed Over | 24c | 159.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 33c | 151.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Under | 37c | 151.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Under | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Under | 56c | 135.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed Over | 53c | 105.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 23c | 103.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Over | 56c | 102.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…c9dcbacked Over | 35c | 99.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…bf13backed Over | 49c | 94.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Over | 64c | 92.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Over | 40c | 91.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 28c | 90.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 65c | 89.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Over | 30c | 83.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 35c | 79.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 73c | 77.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…3294backed Under | 66c | 77.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Over | 70c | 70.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 64c | 69.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 71c | 66.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d72…b643backed Under | 77c | 64.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 23c | 62.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 65c | 60.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Under | 66c | 58.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Over | 27c | 58.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 23c | 53.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 21c | 51.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Under | 51c | 49.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Under | 78c | 49.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 78c | 49.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 45.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 33c | 42.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc578…5c1ebacked Over | 39c | 40.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…a5d6backed Over | 36c | 40.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5d…ef01backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Over | 29c | 38.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Under | 65c | 38.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c61…1d1abacked Under | 43c | 34.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 61c | 34.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…32b5backed Under | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…915bbacked Over | 53c | 33.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 42c | 32.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1,546 | 33.8%523 W · 1,023 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Over | 62c | 30.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed Under | 71c | 29.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…27b4backed Under | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 36c | 27.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | -89.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…acb9backed Under | 76c | 23.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…2516backed Under | 70c | 19.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Over | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…288ebacked Under | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 63c | 16.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StagePARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.