TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e6a…2516

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Wuning: Harry Wendelken vs Pavel Kotovbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.82
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Kei Nishikoribacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.95
Wuning: Clement Chidekh vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$8.9
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+176.7%+$28.67
Madrid: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Terence Atmanebacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$27.43
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.03
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Casper Ruudbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anhelina Kalinina vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.81
Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Selena Janicijevicbacked Selena Janicijevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.34
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$33.48
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Gabriela Ruse vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.95
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.24
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$5.88
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.3
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$34.17
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$30.71
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$16.82
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+267.6%+$54.11
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$12.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mirassol FC vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$5.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.