TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
EYEBALLERSof FOKUS, EYEBALLERS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$198,172
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$206,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,172 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d58…9a15backed FOKUS17c19,884$3,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,408.3314441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked EYEBALLERS52c17,453$9,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,364.973,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed EYEBALLERS20c8,131$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,522.6633043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked EYEBALLERS63c6,173$3,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.0676058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed EYEBALLERS40c5,457$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,296.72,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FOKUS69c3,061$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,101.041,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed EYEBALLERS31c3,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.988938.2%34 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FOKUS70c2,589$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.691,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS65c2,359$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.485,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FOKUS63c2,337$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.2187047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FOKUS63c1,987$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.451,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked FOKUS60c1,937$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.2153545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed FOKUS42c1,904$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.683458.8%20 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+47.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FOKUS68c1,837$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.171,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed EYEBALLERS37c1,763$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.6316152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed FOKUS60c1,628$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.9737445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FOKUS71c1,623$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.2588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed EYEBALLERS41c1,504$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.388032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed EYEBALLERS41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88546149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked FOKUS59c1,463$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.2338358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed FOKUS59c1,421$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.0353746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed FOKUS62c1,412$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.5416947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked EYEBALLERS15c1,411$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.9437441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked EYEBALLERS29c1,406$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.744957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FOKUS58c1,290$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.4375245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS46c1,269$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.46,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed EYEBALLERS35c1,200$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9923243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed EYEBALLERS5c1,112$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.091540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid+97.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FOKUS67c1,009$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.343,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed EYEBALLERS38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6202458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked EYEBALLERS5c965.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.8969624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed FOKUS67c954.61$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.1949646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FOKUS70c921.57$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.074,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked FOKUS76c897.05$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.111,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FOKUS63c864.63$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.292,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked FOKUS58c804.73$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.3326438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked EYEBALLERS35c801.75$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.859058.9%53 W · 37 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed EYEBALLERS35c801.57$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.736854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed EYEBALLERS14c789.81$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.598947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FOKUS27c750$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.51,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FOKUS61c728.94$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.6564852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked EYEBALLERS24c713.87$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.365658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked EYEBALLERS18c706.47$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.8830726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed FOKUS66c690$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.439248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed FOKUS77c647.75$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.11966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+59.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed EYEBALLERS39c617.67$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.8911252.7%59 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked EYEBALLERS6c600$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56452834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed EYEBALLERS22c578.38$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.473540%14 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked FOKUS73c572.23$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.078353%44 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked EYEBALLERS65c567.73$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.698951.7%46 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed FOKUS64c555$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.250043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed EYEBALLERS42c554.91$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.8588242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed EYEBALLERS35c549.12$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.936060%36 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed FOKUS73c519.67$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.3111166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked EYEBALLERS24c500.42$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.355064%32 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed EYEBALLERS42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2906154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed EYEBALLERS40c482$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.225248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4619…2108backed EYEBALLERS65c453.86$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.216355.6%35 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed EYEBALLERS35c452.15$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.96168.9%42 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed EYEBALLERS35c450.95$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.125466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed EYEBALLERS22c432.05$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.616047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked EYEBALLERS23c428.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.8618933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked FOKUS20c401.2$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.912045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed FOKUS79c398.27$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.5678348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed EYEBALLERS35c395.27$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.533743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd044…7f47backed EYEBALLERS6c385.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.811127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+101.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa162…479dbacked FOKUS24c369.83$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.763145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed FOKUS65c346.42$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1750846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed EYEBALLERS11c341.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.5414135.5%50 W · 91 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed EYEBALLERS36c330.32$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.497757.1%44 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed FOKUS58c319.64$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.639258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked EYEBALLERS28c299.97$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.981,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8bb…1c4bbacked FOKUS56c298.25$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.363658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa655…b10cbacked EYEBALLERS14c296.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.992650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed EYEBALLERS23c295.6$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.8537232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed FOKUS67c292.6$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.041040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed EYEBALLERS40c291.04$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6250947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked EYEBALLERS29c285.86$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.6422838.6%88 W · 140 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed FOKUS63c280.7$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5521351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed FOKUS21c275.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6296545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked EYEBALLERS22c274.12$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.114850%24 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FOKUS47c273.6$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.863,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed FOKUS65c271.79$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.633138.7%12 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd936…8318backed FOKUS68c269.99$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.52425%6 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed EYEBALLERS18c264.11$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5713238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked EYEBALLERS36c263.96$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.117857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed FOKUS79c258.14$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9529465.3%192 W · 102 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked FOKUS64c257.62$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4816451.8%85 W · 79 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…9178backed EYEBALLERS43c257.28$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.941050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed FOKUS64c244.6$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5469635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed FOKUS45c240.15$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3133553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba2d…2f32backed FOKUS40c239.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.82785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.45per pick41cpaid+110.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed EYEBALLERS20c239.26$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.3160838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed FOKUS68c232.13$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7255950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9b…3de2backed EYEBALLERS41c221.86$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.98842%37 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed FOKUS40c219.09$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.642860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x59b7…9581backed FOKUS80c204.94$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.951631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked FOKUS73c202.65$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1531852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed EYEBALLERS40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12023851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce5…9e1bbacked EYEBALLERS9c199.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.664431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.