CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x169088c1d399a02f1060ae23d489e32037d8726eb7e6f9bc93a25d0ff1294495
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EYEBALLERSof FOKUS, EYEBALLERS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked FOKUS | 39c | 7,392$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.89 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…477cbacked FOKUS | 40c | 5,467$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.57 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked EYEBALLERS | 61c | 4,002$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.96 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed EYEBALLERS | 60c | 3,698$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.27 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed EYEBALLERS | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed EYEBALLERS | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked FOKUS | 38c | 1,953$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.32 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked EYEBALLERS | 61c | 1,364$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.97 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…c666backed EYEBALLERS | 63c | 1,252$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.8 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed EYEBALLERS | 61c | 989.41$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.87 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed FOKUS | 36c | 882.43$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.68 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked EYEBALLERS | 51c | 670.84$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.34 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed FOKUS | 38c | 506.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed EYEBALLERS | 64c | 454.8$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.73 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed FOKUS | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed EYEBALLERS | 61c | 390.64$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…5458backed FOKUS | 49c | 326.94$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked EYEBALLERS | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed FOKUS | 37c | 254.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked EYEBALLERS | 61c | 253.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed EYEBALLERS | 54c | 216.83$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed EYEBALLERS | 61c | 168.1$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked FOKUS | 39c | 166.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked EYEBALLERS | 60c | 145$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FOKUS | 47c | 135.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FOKUS | 55c | 104.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed EYEBALLERS | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5329backed EYEBALLERS | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FOKUS | 37c | 86.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked FOKUS | 37c | 78.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed EYEBALLERS | 58c | 65.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked FOKUS | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed EYEBALLERS | 38c | 43.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…9419backed FOKUS | 42c | 43.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed FOKUS | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked FOKUS | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc2…d305backed FOKUS | 38c | 36.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FOKUS | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed EYEBALLERS | 62c | 29.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed EYEBALLERS | 62c | 25.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked EYEBALLERS | 62c | 18.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageEYEBALLERS won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 WinnerEYEBALLERS won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.