TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x338c…1b33

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
283
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT16947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 169 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.63
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs TYLOO (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.94
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$593.62
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.61
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$247.82
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$482.68
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.1
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$798.4
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$874Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$873.54
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked regain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.66
Counter-Strike: InControl vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked InControl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.25
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.63
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$870.1
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$370.61
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$305.11
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$236.84
Counter-Strike: ex-MINLATE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$106.43
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.24
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.93
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.15
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$190.94
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$150.16
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.3
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.6
Showing 25 of 169 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.7
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$164.32
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.11
Valorant: Team Secret vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$182.7
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$79.1
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$171.3
Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$281.27
Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$163.67
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,004.95
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$191.68
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$499.37
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$396
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 4 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$539.36
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$424.77
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$228.25
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$162.47
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.25
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.61
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.79
Valorant: DRX vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Valorant: DRX vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.83
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 3 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$314.96
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$463.09
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$150.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$871Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$871.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.