Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd33c1b320d8248adb0d871c1303045016805253467cb8d09e053dff8642e30b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dragon Ranger Gamingof XLG Gaming, Dragon Ranger Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked XLG Gaming | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed XLG Gaming | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked XLG Gaming | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed XLG Gaming | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed XLG Gaming | 2c | 2,150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed XLG Gaming | 6c | 1,436$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked XLG Gaming | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 1.4%1 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed XLG Gaming | 2c | 970$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 60c | 786.8$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.96 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed XLG Gaming | 17c | 651.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.86 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked XLG Gaming | 37c | 630.47$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.02 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked XLG Gaming | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 46c | 492.72$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed XLG Gaming | 7c | 466$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked XLG Gaming | 7c | 466$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked XLG Gaming | 40c | 400$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed XLG Gaming | 20c | 353.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed XLG Gaming | 38c | 332.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed XLG Gaming | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed XLG Gaming | 20c | 239$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked XLG Gaming | 38c | 237.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked XLG Gaming | 64c | 227.01$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed XLG Gaming | 69c | 217.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked XLG Gaming | 30c | 181.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked XLG Gaming | 12c | 175.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed XLG Gaming | 47c | 155.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 57c | 151$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9233…b93abacked XLG Gaming | 45c | 131$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked XLG Gaming | 40c | 129.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed XLG Gaming | 65c | 122.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked XLG Gaming | 30c | 108.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 60c | 96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed XLG Gaming | 22c | 91.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed XLG Gaming | 31c | 77.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 32c | 74.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed XLG Gaming | 14c | 72.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked XLG Gaming | 41c | 70.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed XLG Gaming | 35c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed XLG Gaming | 47c | 67.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed XLG Gaming | 36c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed XLG Gaming | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a0…4d91backed XLG Gaming | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked XLG Gaming | 40c | 47.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 39c | 38.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed XLG Gaming | 56c | 28.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4f…07c2backed XLG Gaming | 65c | 26.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO5) - VCT China PlayoffsXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 WinnerXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 WinnerXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 4 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.