TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
XLG Gamingof XLG Gaming, Dragon Ranger Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,241 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x02c7…0927backed XLG Gaming66c1,817$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.446450%32 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Dragon Ranger Gaming34c1,592$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.1733942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed XLG Gaming64c1,589$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.9854751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Dragon Ranger Gaming34c1,480$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.198638.4%33 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dragon Ranger Gaming34c978.31$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.844342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked XLG Gaming71c901.55$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.4978162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Dragon Ranger Gaming36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming36c625$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22529733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Dragon Ranger Gaming35c620.76$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.277445.9%34 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed XLG Gaming65c611.4$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9925660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41e2…3ad5backed Dragon Ranger Gaming4c536.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Dragon Ranger Gaming10c531.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1842540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb835…2e51backed XLG Gaming66c530.3$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Dragon Ranger Gaming16c500.66$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Dragon Ranger Gaming35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6566…1f93backed Dragon Ranger Gaming35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1727…680ebacked XLG Gaming66c476.42$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming26c463.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.354641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked XLG Gaming66c456.55$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2528747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Dragon Ranger Gaming16c451.12$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.365836.2%21 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked XLG Gaming65c430$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.512650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming30c428.93$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.114533.8%49 W · 96 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked XLG Gaming67c419.34$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.381,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming8c385$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.051,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Dragon Ranger Gaming15c363.26$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4534253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Dragon Ranger Gaming15c338.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.251,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Dragon Ranger Gaming17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5334739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked XLG Gaming65c299.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10586747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming14c299.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.822548%12 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Dragon Ranger Gaming35c299.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Dragon Ranger Gaming34c294.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.299037.8%34 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Dragon Ranger Gaming31c293.74$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8645250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Dragon Ranger Gaming23c263.42$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2828541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Dragon Ranger Gaming9c251.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.891,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…b478backed Dragon Ranger Gaming12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked XLG Gaming67c249.43$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3118653.8%100 W · 86 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Dragon Ranger Gaming31c236.33$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7446326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e89…8f82backed XLG Gaming66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba2…6b6cbacked XLG Gaming66c212.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1216858.9%99 W · 69 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked XLG Gaming65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7012750.4%64 W · 63 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming34c197.4$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.126338.1%24 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming36c194.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Dragon Ranger Gaming24c192.26$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5619337.8%73 W · 120 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed XLG Gaming66c187.33$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.691060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38b7…cfa7backed XLG Gaming70c170.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.446250%31 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked XLG Gaming68c169.59$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.271,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed XLG Gaming67c169.38$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.95343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed XLG Gaming67c169$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.774042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea86…6fb4backed Dragon Ranger Gaming12c166.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209255.4%51 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…98e3backed Dragon Ranger Gaming15c159.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Dragon Ranger Gaming10c157.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.681,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9809…026dbacked XLG Gaming67c156.21$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.554669.6%32 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Dragon Ranger Gaming14c152$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5299846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1034…2848backed XLG Gaming66c144.61$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.621080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5062856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming35c142.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9733753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f4e…7182backed Dragon Ranger Gaming15c140.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac6…e596backed Dragon Ranger Gaming32c133$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.971947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed Dragon Ranger Gaming35c125.71$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4418735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa8…6e47backed Dragon Ranger Gaming27c121.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.421050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f48…0b0dbacked XLG Gaming66c121.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2118457.1%105 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1aa…bf0fbacked XLG Gaming71c120.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.994067.5%27 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming35c119.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8633153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed XLG Gaming65c113$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5511454.4%62 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed Dragon Ranger Gaming34c101.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521859.2%129 W · 89 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Dragon Ranger Gaming15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed XLG Gaming65c95$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.259354.8%51 W · 42 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed XLG Gaming66c94.41$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked XLG Gaming66c91.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0842051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming26c90$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8214729.9%44 W · 103 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7219…556abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming21c88.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0650%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Dragon Ranger Gaming36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022955%126 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e26…7f2bbacked XLG Gaming66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Dragon Ranger Gaming33c68.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8757517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Dragon Ranger Gaming25c67.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1743843.6%191 W · 247 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c2…640fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9816…8ff4backed XLG Gaming66c57.23$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.463151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe58e…2ee8backed Dragon Ranger Gaming35c55.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.481145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Dragon Ranger Gaming36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc014…5ff4backed XLG Gaming65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4967…340bbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157064.3%45 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed XLG Gaming65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.468966.3%59 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked XLG Gaming65c38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.311248.2%54 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffdb…497abacked XLG Gaming71c37.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.842075%15 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked XLG Gaming65c37.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.067047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked XLG Gaming66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.35569.1%38 W · 17 L+12.2wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+69.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x86fa…fd90backed XLG Gaming66c28.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.79771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed XLG Gaming66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.514737.4%55 W · 92 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked XLG Gaming65c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0512147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed XLG Gaming66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7318465.2%120 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2b…2372backed XLG Gaming66c22.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.634254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb382…c498backed XLG Gaming66c18.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.32366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked XLG Gaming79c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.781,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked XLG Gaming66c15.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.192065%13 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.