TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
XLG Gamingof XLG Gaming, Dragon Ranger Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,077 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c1b…de56backed Dragon Ranger Gaming39c478.32$186 inLost-$185.826637.9%25 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming28c243.76$69 inLost-$68.7145033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed XLG Gaming68c222.14$150 inWon+$72.1412656.3%71 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked XLG Gaming76c202.76$153 inWon+$49.311,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa8…d75fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming10c200$20 inLost-$203043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d43…3f6cbacked XLG Gaming66c199.99$132 inWon+$689965.7%65 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming6c195$12 inLost-$1215217.8%27 W · 125 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked XLG Gaming69c186.21$128 inWon+$58.2118261%111 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0fb…b170backed Dragon Ranger Gaming45c183.49$83 inLost-$82.773342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed XLG Gaming67c123.29$82 inWon+$41.2934253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked XLG Gaming71c100$71 inWon+$2978162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Dragon Ranger Gaming22c75.01$17 inLost-$16.851,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08a0…4d91backed XLG Gaming62c67.71$42 inWon+$25.421770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Dragon Ranger Gaming31c62.9$19 inLost-$19.532152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked XLG Gaming59c62.14$37 inWon+$25.4888844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming32c61.22$20 inLost-$19.593360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Dragon Ranger Gaming29c57.06$17 inLost-$16.561,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Dragon Ranger Gaming34c50.56$17 inLost-$17.191,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed Dragon Ranger Gaming34c46.72$16 inLost-$15.963253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked XLG Gaming64c23.11$15 inWon+$8.3712159.5%72 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.