TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
F5 Esportsof F5 Esports, regain
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,970 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked F5 Esports64c5,524$3,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.381,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed F5 Esports59c4,837$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.466,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked regain65c4,006$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.255,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked regain2c3,873$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.73140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked regain1c2,600$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325211.5%6 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick18cpaid+16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed regain50c2,575$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.7457358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed F5 Esports52c2,348$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.592,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed F5 Esports63c1,429$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.133056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0e…528dbacked regain15c1,370$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.41827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked regain1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked F5 Esports36c1,199$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.151,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked regain40c961.82$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.924946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed regain2c950$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed regain34c933.41$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.6210426%27 W · 77 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked F5 Esports62c923.47$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.866446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked regain1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked F5 Esports66c790.97$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.347,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed regain66c747.35$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.6616947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed regain45c704.37$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.8711651.7%60 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed regain25c602.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.532,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed regain2c575$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+67.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed F5 Esports60c572.03$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.5355950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked F5 Esports67c571.84$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7522534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked regain44c534$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.573,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed regain40c531.93$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.914,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed F5 Esports66c509.31$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.325042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed F5 Esports65c502.89$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.4846843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d1…ba29backed F5 Esports36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25610139.6%40 W · 61 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed F5 Esports45c394.21$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.862,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed F5 Esports38c390.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0133044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed regain34c371.25$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4316829.2%49 W · 119 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked F5 Esports64c370.4$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2926037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked regain32c356.78$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.172360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+68.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed regain34c341.77$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.615,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked regain64c305.75$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.686933.3%23 W · 46 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked F5 Esports64c293.24$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4538942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked regain40c247.28$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9319050%95 W · 95 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed F5 Esports63c241$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3257641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed F5 Esports35c232.35$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.356732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed F5 Esports46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed F5 Esports37c199.8$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8832845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked F5 Esports35c188.98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.787625%19 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed regain34c183.2$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.311,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed F5 Esports31c172.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0313246.2%61 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked regain12c161.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.372,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed regain62c158.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5738452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe2…0d54backed regain62c157.61$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.726758.2%39 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed F5 Esports35c157.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.428639.5%34 W · 52 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked F5 Esports59c157.41$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5571951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed regain61c155.95$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1384958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked F5 Esports35c155.13$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.688648.8%42 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed F5 Esports35c147.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9618536.2%67 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed F5 Esports36c146.08$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7917758.2%103 W · 74 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6df…1cf4backed F5 Esports38c129.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.127041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed F5 Esports39c126.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4710251%52 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked F5 Esports65c126.07$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.665,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed regain50c123.63$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8152951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked F5 Esports70c117.85$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.133,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed F5 Esports55c110$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.371,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed regain35c105.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.952,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed F5 Esports37c105.27$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3244343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed F5 Esports34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6640247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed regain17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1733241.6%138 W · 194 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked regain17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked F5 Esports35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6570038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed F5 Esports38c99.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.992,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed F5 Esports55c99.38$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.514,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed F5 Esports67c96.81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.721,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked F5 Esports38c96.28$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.693951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd936…8318backed regain37c96.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.62425%6 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked F5 Esports44c89.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8147260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed regain63c88.58$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.864854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked F5 Esports38c82.07$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8812469.4%86 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked F5 Esports34c75.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0418341%75 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed regain65c73.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.647856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed regain17c67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3936845.9%169 W · 199 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfef0…5092backed regain30c64.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.161070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked F5 Esports37c63.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0719344%85 W · 108 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d33…3d8cbacked regain39c62.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed regain42c61.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.952,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed regain51c60.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.942,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed F5 Esports35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.237841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed F5 Esports35c59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.21855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed F5 Esports35c56.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8519850.5%100 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed F5 Esports38c50.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.424339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed F5 Esports62c47.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7610752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf11a…1002backed regain54c44.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0727848.6%135 W · 143 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked F5 Esports37c39.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2220646.6%96 W · 110 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb818…6611backed F5 Esports47c39.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.766544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed regain42c38.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0129350.2%147 W · 146 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked regain39c38.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.721,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked F5 Esports58c36.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.444856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed F5 Esports38c35.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9416946.7%79 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked regain39c33.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.851,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1e…522fbacked F5 Esports36c32.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.514042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed F5 Esports47c31.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5214137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed F5 Esports65c29.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.44961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09f4…58c4backed F5 Esports52c29.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9911768.4%80 W · 37 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed F5 Esports46c28.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.142,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xea49…434fbacked regain55c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6515057.3%86 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.