CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs regain - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe29b4dba57cccdd46b467e0c92c39a928d95e46fcacd730c867960340910d570
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- F5 Esportsof F5 Esports, regain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a14…d748backed F5 Esports | 50c | 5,225$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.3 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed regain | 46c | 2,181$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.33 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked regain | 48c | 1,766$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.26 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked regain | 61c | 1,034$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.41 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed regain | 52c | 820.48$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.83 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed regain | 37c | 767.39$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.64 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed regain | 42c | 675.64$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.77 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked F5 Esports | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed regain | 56c | 399.82$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.57 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed F5 Esports | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed regain | 27c | 245.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed F5 Esports | 43c | 206.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.73 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked regain | 40c | 134.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked regain | 58c | 122.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed regain | 49c | 97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed F5 Esports | 60c | 90.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked regain | 34c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed regain | 35c | 83.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed regain | 35c | 80.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed F5 Esports | 37c | 78.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked regain | 45c | 74.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed regain | 15c | 70.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed F5 Esports | 39c | 64.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed regain | 61c | 49.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed regain | 45c | 42.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked regain | 58c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed F5 Esports | 43c | 32.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed regain | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed regain | 37c | 26.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked F5 Esports | 69c | 22.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed F5 Esports | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs regain - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 PlayoffsF5 Esports won
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs regain - Map 2 WinnerF5 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.