CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs regain - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43890e0a429a7a39e29436d555ff5b308dfa42fbaac2a09948c6a492858f6cc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- F5 Esportsof F5 Esports, regain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked F5 Esports | 68c | 2,875$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.99 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed regain | 59c | 2,718$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.73 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked regain | 64c | 1,849$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.36 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed F5 Esports | 43c | 1,689$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.73 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…2cf5backed regain | 10c | 1,419$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked F5 Esports | 37c | 1,200$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed F5 Esports | 44c | 1,053$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.95 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e9…ce05backed regain | 69c | 575.59$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed F5 Esports | 38c | 475.83$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.01 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked F5 Esports | 39c | 379.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.71 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed regain | 60c | 372.62$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.39 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed F5 Esports | 38c | 343$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.67 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked regain | 62c | 342.8$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.73 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed regain | 28c | 338.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed regain | 18c | 325.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed F5 Esports | 36c | 293.07$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.36 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked F5 Esports | 38c | 244.68$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.7 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed F5 Esports | 38c | 236.85$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.85 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked F5 Esports | 53c | 234.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed F5 Esports | 32c | 218.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.48 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed F5 Esports | 57c | 209.51$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked F5 Esports | 71c | 194.18$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked F5 Esports | 42c | 144.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked F5 Esports | 29c | 144.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed regain | 52c | 130.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed F5 Esports | 38c | 122.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed F5 Esports | 36c | 100.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed regain | 40c | 99.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed F5 Esports | 37c | 87.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed F5 Esports | 28c | 86.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed F5 Esports | 39c | 76.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed F5 Esports | 37c | 68.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked F5 Esports | 22c | 64.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…306ebacked F5 Esports | 32c | 60.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed regain | 52c | 60.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed regain | 57c | 59.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed F5 Esports | 63c | 54.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed regain | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked regain | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked regain | 60c | 42.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed F5 Esports | 36c | 40.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed regain | 54c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed regain | 62c | 39.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed F5 Esports | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked F5 Esports | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs regain - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 PlayoffsF5 Esports won
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs regain - Map 1 WinnerF5 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.