TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBRof MIBR, EYEBALLERS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$242,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$271,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked MIBR67c41,444$27,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,691.423,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed EYEBALLERS35c40,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,999.9524544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53fe…0485backed EYEBALLERS0c36,861$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.011637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked EYEBALLERS36c36,109$13,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,048.6915245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked MIBR63c21,023$13,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,778.476058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked EYEBALLERS36c9,963$3,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,586.8230726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed MIBR65c8,181$5,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed EYEBALLERS39c5,786$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.5117643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked EYEBALLERS29c5,715$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.931,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked EYEBALLERS30c5,712$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.041,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed EYEBALLERS35c5,618$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.316152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked MIBR65c4,357$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.5564852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked MIBR64c4,213$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.8438358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed MIBR70c3,919$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.0124346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed MIBR61c3,859$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.4875450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked MIBR67c3,373$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.011,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked MIBR69c3,359$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.0778963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed EYEBALLERS19c2,441$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.91,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed MIBR61c2,386$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.219351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed EYEBALLERS36c2,139$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.024136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed EYEBALLERS37c2,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75097040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked EYEBALLERS11c1,696$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3427740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed MIBR72c1,636$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.0620838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MIBR80c1,564$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.382,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed MIBR65c1,507$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.6255043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed EYEBALLERS29c1,449$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.4188746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed MIBR63c1,446$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.337445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed MIBR64c1,426$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.3817759.9%106 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed EYEBALLERS23c1,380$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.7787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked MIBR72c1,366$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.3612465.3%81 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked MIBR61c1,352$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.1344957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9901…e9b4backed EYEBALLERS37c1,300$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.14348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked MIBR64c1,207$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.6741069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed MIBR60c1,161$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.3833452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed MIBR71c1,138$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.118552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed MIBR64c1,095$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.115347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed EYEBALLERS40c1,034$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.82,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked EYEBALLERS30c1,001$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.31,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x964d…2acdbacked EYEBALLERS39c990.75$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked EYEBALLERS29c990.41$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.223,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed MIBR69c940.2$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.5760848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8781…bc3cbacked EYEBALLERS30c910.26$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.742334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed MIBR71c892.89$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9449941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed MIBR71c890.72$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3121351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ff…5f94backed MIBR79c875.59$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0215259.9%91 W · 61 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed EYEBALLERS30c854.67$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.439248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed MIBR62c802.93$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.1116947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f19…7780backed MIBR73c749.99$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+54.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked MIBR74c724.34$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8231451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked EYEBALLERS16c571.28$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.163925.6%10 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed EYEBALLERS17c546.76$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0422444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5968…9178backed MIBR62c523.27$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.841050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed EYEBALLERS36c499.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked MIBR65c498$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.575064%32 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked MIBR71c484.06$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.181,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked MIBR61c480.3$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3213065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacc8…1df3backed MIBR61c479.94$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.18875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked MIBR65c457.67$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.755658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed MIBR76c452.19$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0815373.2%112 W · 41 L+18.5wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed MIBR65c450.39$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6922252.7%117 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked MIBR71c415.18$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.43158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed EYEBALLERS27c406.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3157322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f5…40d7backed EYEBALLERS35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed EYEBALLERS39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15653444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed EYEBALLERS39c344.26$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2623243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed MIBR61c336.21$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1250846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked EYEBALLERS39c309.1$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5553545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked MIBR67c307.84$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4122534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed EYEBALLERS38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11424134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked EYEBALLERS13c283.39$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8434147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked EYEBALLERS13c282.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3937441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed EYEBALLERS17c261.9$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.674555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked MIBR77c256.62$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.416451.8%85 W · 79 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed MIBR65c256.21$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.678458.3%49 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f11…5d87backed MIBR75c255.82$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.332240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3081…c666backed EYEBALLERS39c250.48$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.694955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed MIBR72c236.95$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3524641.9%103 W · 143 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked MIBR64c234.88$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5831852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed MIBR64c215.14$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4513267.4%89 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed EYEBALLERS34c213.73$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.732,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed EYEBALLERS6c195.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7563541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed MIBR64c195.68$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4468753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed MIBR64c195.68$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4460838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed EYEBALLERS38c191.91$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0885446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked MIBR64c190.57$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.263661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed EYEBALLERS39c172.92$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4437232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebf8…8bb4backed EYEBALLERS39c172.92$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4460%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed MIBR70c172.56$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7750947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed EYEBALLERS41c171.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.134944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed EYEBALLERS29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.874546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed MIBR64c162.05$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3423161.5%142 W · 89 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked EYEBALLERS29c161.73$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4710945%49 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed EYEBALLERS17c157.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8356732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked MIBR67c155.23$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1110950.5%55 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8083…0b28backed EYEBALLERS34c146.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.973036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked MIBR64c138.75$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9560953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed MIBR71c138.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1317756.5%100 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked MIBR71c138.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.135261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed EYEBALLERS11c136.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2718342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed MIBR72c136.53$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4711742.7%50 W · 67 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.