TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBRof MIBR, EYEBALLERS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$216,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$248,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7f2f…5f14backed EYEBALLERS0c47,473$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked MIBR56c15,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.9876058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked EYEBALLERS44c8,473$3,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,746.7627740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked EYEBALLERS30c8,251$2,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.653,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked MIBR68c5,195$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.531,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked EYEBALLERS32c5,162$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.621,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed MIBR48c5,051$2,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,607.524346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked EYEBALLERS39c4,319$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.541,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed EYEBALLERS39c4,175$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.7687047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed MIBR76c3,985$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.3712571.2%89 W · 36 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked EYEBALLERS23c3,973$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.512,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed EYEBALLERS34c3,350$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.9688746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed EYEBALLERS24c3,307$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.252,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked EYEBALLERS35c3,136$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.321,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked EYEBALLERS45c2,012$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.721,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked EYEBALLERS44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.0717849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed EYEBALLERS30c1,920$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.8356732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked EYEBALLERS40c1,876$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.983,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed MIBR55c1,781$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.5937445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed EYEBALLERS44c1,779$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.8741850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed EYEBALLERS44c1,500$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.4726549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed MIBR47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.9823243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x964d…2acdbacked EYEBALLERS42c1,492$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed EYEBALLERS50c1,259$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.5324944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ac…3e47backed MIBR76c1,199$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.418564.7%55 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed MIBR50c960$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48053444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed EYEBALLERS33c864.54$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.196,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked MIBR39c822.89$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.621,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeee8…1038backed MIBR63c799.99$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2961747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8781…bc3cbacked EYEBALLERS3c779.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.772334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed EYEBALLERS67c730.43$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.1319351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed EYEBALLERS56c695.76$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.433652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed EYEBALLERS28c692.18$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.811,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed MIBR48c692.05$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.7960848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9901…e9b4backed MIBR74c667.46$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.344348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3081…c666backed MIBR42c650$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.54955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked EYEBALLERS54c633.56$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.1215245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed4d…6a0bbacked EYEBALLERS50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2912152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed EYEBALLERS50c578.95$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8410442.3%44 W · 60 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked MIBR51c570.94$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.7613065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked MIBR78c546.73$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6112352.8%65 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed MIBR79c544.3$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.424544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed EYEBALLERS28c529.25$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1146345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed MIBR79c525.04$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.655466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed MIBR78c513.99$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.668552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed MIBR53c502.64$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.8416947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed MIBR78c489.37$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9511546.1%53 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked MIBR78c486.99$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.89058.9%53 W · 37 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR60c473.52$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.367,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed EYEBALLERS53c441.54$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.513857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed EYEBALLERS44c439.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.281040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed EYEBALLERS30c436.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6961837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked EYEBALLERS49c412.21$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.982339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked MIBR65c406.39$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5939970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed EYEBALLERS36c405.43$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.342,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed MIBR77c397.55$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.366854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed EYEBALLERS56c394.85$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0978348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked MIBR51c391$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.5960953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed EYEBALLERS39c388.97$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7116935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed EYEBALLERS49c383.88$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.18947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed EYEBALLERS47c336.09$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9616152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5968…9178backed MIBR36c328.55$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.271050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b0b…6583backed MIBR69c316.94$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked EYEBALLERS38c313.09$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0784037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed MIBR44c302.89$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.621258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed EYEBALLERS15c299.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4517345.7%79 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed EYEBALLERS47c299.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9924134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed EYEBALLERS18c298.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.245,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed EYEBALLERS10c287.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.364,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed MIBR53c275.04$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2769635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9cb…bdcdbacked MIBR37c262.53$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.331844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed MIBR45c257.87$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8350846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed EYEBALLERS50c252.2$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.122252.7%117 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed EYEBALLERS20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed MIBR63c231.19$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5481843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked EYEBALLERS50c229.56$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6637441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed MIBR63c225.62$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8610753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed EYEBALLERS40c219.81$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7421351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked MIBR44c219.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.424946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked MIBR74c216.71$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.643158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked EYEBALLERS17c215.26$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.865,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed MIBR62c213.83$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.524555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d1…6b2cbacked EYEBALLERS75c209.01$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.642560%15 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed EYEBALLERS35c207.36$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.722,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed EYEBALLERS43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8623851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed EYEBALLERS43c193.16$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.061,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed EYEBALLERS37c192.44$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.257322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed EYEBALLERS56c192.26$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.544,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked EYEBALLERS27c183.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4541640.6%169 W · 247 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c92…5567backed EYEBALLERS28c172.54$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.833050%15 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked MIBR62c158.04$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.333847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed MIBR62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.897653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3c…0518backed EYEBALLERS37c157.44$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.472619.2%5 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked MIBR63c155.65$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.885261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed MIBR63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4317756.5%100 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb54f…70c3backed EYEBALLERS45c150.01$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.51966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed EYEBALLERS39c149.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.529465.3%192 W · 102 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0fb…b170backed EYEBALLERS49c149.01$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.711442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked MIBR35c147.23$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.728143.8%123 W · 158 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked MIBR68c136.47$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.47857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.