TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: DRX vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DRXof DRX, Nongshim RedForce
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,721 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed Nongshim RedForce55c9,668$5,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,317.3534356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93f6…4814backed DRX45c9,525$4,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,238.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked DRX60c3,288$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.1912155.4%67 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e35…2614backed Nongshim RedForce33c2,286$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.812927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-42.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Nongshim RedForce34c1,662$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.7711854.2%64 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f8d…24dfbacked DRX78c1,518$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.533873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Nongshim RedForce56c1,501$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.0593148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed DRX55c1,469$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.126050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Nongshim RedForce48c1,062$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.8915553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Nongshim RedForce58c999.98$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Nongshim RedForce54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Nongshim RedForce25c685.7$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17210844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed DRX59c626.19$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.5945250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed DRX54c604.44$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.0135331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed DRX51c549.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.4914252.8%75 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Nongshim RedForce34c525.23$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.148444%37 W · 47 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Nongshim RedForce55c444.44$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4424846%114 W · 134 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed DRX45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.446445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Nongshim RedForce51c291.51$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed DRX45c270.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.059737.1%36 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Nongshim RedForce53c250$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.531153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked DRX44c249.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14036648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed DRX66c242.98$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.986672.7%48 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked DRX48c218.6$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.181,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed DRX63c217.12$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.271,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Nongshim RedForce26c216.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3560022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed DRX75c205.67$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2114661.6%90 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked DRX65c201$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.351,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed DRX54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9211843.2%51 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x045a…b9a4backed DRX54c157.41$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+59.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed DRX43c156.83$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3366438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09fd…60f7backed Nongshim RedForce31c147.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.733327.3%9 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nongshim RedForce27c134.56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0145033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x32ec…645ebacked DRX45c109.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Nongshim RedForce60c105.75$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.234854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked DRX45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5512750.4%64 W · 63 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Nongshim RedForce60c98.75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5942051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f4e…7182backed Nongshim RedForce40c98.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Nongshim RedForce49c92.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458062.5%50 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nongshim RedForce32c89.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3757517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed DRX48c89.03$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.31,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed DRX66c89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4837545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed DRX67c87.16$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1918444.6%82 W · 102 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed DRX53c80.37$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1522542.7%96 W · 129 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Nongshim RedForce17c65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0577929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Nongshim RedForce32c61.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.731,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed DRX52c51.18$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7624751.8%128 W · 119 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Nongshim RedForce35c48.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8725752.1%134 W · 123 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked DRX45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4451948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Nongshim RedForce50c43.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.387047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5181…b4a2backed Nongshim RedForce43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.23545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61ad…a0c8backed DRX44c39.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.036061.7%37 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Nongshim RedForce35c38.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6638548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Nongshim RedForce56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.863652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked DRX44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.827850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed DRX44c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1799846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed DRX70c21.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2539166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb3d…a77bbacked Nongshim RedForce60c19.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.973943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.