Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: DRX vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x893a02c31783ba8de0ec299c9c9228b82a843b3dc21a7d045c62a4101688c481

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nongshim RedForceof DRX, Nongshim RedForce
Resolved: May 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $67,570
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $68,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,570 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd888…3c9fbacked DRX	2c	23,052$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.79	121	55.4%67 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e35…2614backed DRX	22c	4,730$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-4.9wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed DRX	27c	1,941$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.9	84	44%37 W · 47 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f8d…24dfbacked DRX	43c	1,351$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583	38	73.7%28 W · 10 L	+5.9wins	+0.16per pick	58cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked DRX	42c	1,044$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.32	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed DRX	30c	683.49$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.59	353	31.2%110 W · 243 L	-29.2wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed DRX	38c	453$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.16	160	33.8%54 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed DRX	29c	448.68$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.91	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed DRX	25c	436$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.09	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked DRX	25c	436$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.09	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ce…0f13backed DRX	13c	393.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-4.3wins	-0.11per pick	30cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed DRX	32c	356.91$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.13	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed DRX	29c	352.07$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.89	108	44.4%48 W · 60 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed DRX	33c	253$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.71	133	36.8%49 W · 84 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed DRX	28c	235.66$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.77	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Nongshim RedForce	67c	226.78$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.49	409	44.3%181 W · 228 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked DRX	26c	222.78$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.59	888	44.4%394 W · 494 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked DRX	25c	201.32$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.18	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed DRX	23c	200.01$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	224	49.1%110 W · 114 L	+13.2wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed DRX	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.81	98	37.8%37 W · 61 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed DRX	50c	191$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.08	279	47.7%133 W · 146 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed DRX	30c	186$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.24	118	41.5%49 W · 69 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked DRX	34c	172$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.48	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed DRX	49c	169$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	375	45.6%171 W · 204 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Nongshim RedForce	79c	156.49$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.03	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked DRX	17c	152$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.69	103	41.7%43 W · 60 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed DRX	24c	145.83$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.34	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nongshim RedForce	66c	144.24$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.58	450	33.8%152 W · 298 L	-35.6wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed DRX	31c	127.3$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.44	779	29.5%230 W · 549 L	-72.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed DRX	17c	118$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.94	664	38.1%253 W · 411 L	-31.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed DRX	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	122	43.4%53 W · 69 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked DRX	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed DRX	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed Nongshim RedForce	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked DRX	16c	90.01$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.83	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked DRX	29c	87.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.32	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed DRX	34c	86$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.24	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed DRX	34c	86$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.24	158	39.2%62 W · 96 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed DRX	34c	86$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.24	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.23per pick	37cpaid	+102.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Nongshim RedForce	74c	73.68$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.25	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed DRX	23c	60.18$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.95	305	44.3%135 W · 170 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed DRX	21c	57.31$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	118	43.2%51 W · 67 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed DRX	21c	47.62$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	575	17.7%102 W · 473 L	-71.7wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed DRX	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	199	45.2%90 W · 109 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238d…eb74backed DRX	34c	42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed DRX	42c	42$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Nongshim RedForce	63c	31.98$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.83	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+4.3wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x268e…dfaebacked Nongshim RedForce	67c	22.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.37	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: DRX vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)DRX won
Valorant: DRX vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsDRX won
Valorant: DRX vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 WinnerDRX won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: DRX vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event