TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: DRX vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DRXof DRX, Nongshim RedForce
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,562
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,562 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Nongshim RedForce62c25,000$15,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,499.9578162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0e…6257backed DRX38c13,008$4,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,064.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e35…2614backed Nongshim RedForce7c12,641$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.482927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-42.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Nongshim RedForce64c8,000$5,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,109.4510455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Nongshim RedForce63c7,386$4,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,647.4528955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed DRX36c7,115$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,553.6333942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked Nongshim RedForce52c6,511$3,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,416.031457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked DRX48c6,461$3,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,364.936150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed DRX38c5,149$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,192.0793148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Nongshim RedForce62c3,388$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.515358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked DRX38c2,379$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.9515343.8%67 W · 86 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked DRX45c1,979$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.0928747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Nongshim RedForce53c1,750$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.528548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed DRX38c1,710$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.4411258%65 W · 47 L+12.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked DRX39c1,705$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.137550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Nongshim RedForce63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Nongshim RedForce62c1,506$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.811255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nongshim RedForce11c1,500$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.51,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed DRX38c1,494$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.7625660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked DRX38c1,239$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.0633153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed DRX52c1,209$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.7428541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Nongshim RedForce18c1,177$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.428444%37 W · 47 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Nongshim RedForce54c1,110$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.416950.9%86 W · 83 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked DRX44c1,106$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.6112948.1%62 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed DRX38c1,100$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6826737.3%25 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Nongshim RedForce17c1,005$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8360022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed Nongshim RedForce56c1,004$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.296339.7%25 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed DRX38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6204542.2%19 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Nongshim RedForce54c991.57$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.8310956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0290…e1bcbacked DRX65c990.12$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.491172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbba…c191backed DRX37c902.67$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.681250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7065…f73cbacked DRX36c865.25$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.412839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked DRX47c848.99$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9611854.2%64 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe705…f910backed DRX38c811$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.82933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed DRX38c757$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.3423447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Nongshim RedForce11c749.96$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8522018.2%40 W · 180 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Nongshim RedForce52c729.07$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.6554751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Nongshim RedForce7c727.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Nongshim RedForce55c652.29$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.2545250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked DRX38c610.53$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.539052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked DRX38c592.11$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.1129733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Nongshim RedForce45c565.92$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.869742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed DRX36c556$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.849037.8%34 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Nongshim RedForce19c553.21$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.271,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked DRX38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.328950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked DRX37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3156338.1%24 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked DRX38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31031153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Nongshim RedForce45c495$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.431,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e0…f96ebacked Nongshim RedForce10c484.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Nongshim RedForce30c484.1$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5242540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed DRX68c452.69$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.85248.1%25 W · 27 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-23.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Nongshim RedForce67c449.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011458.8%67 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked DRX39c420.61$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5735142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac42…60d1backed DRX35c417$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.41442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70f…eae5backed DRX38c400.05$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.031136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed DRX74c395.46$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.469640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked DRX38c392$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.0410455.8%58 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8165…ba12backed DRX32c381.81$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.743754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Nongshim RedForce64c375$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed DRX64c372.96$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.061,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Nongshim RedForce11c371.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0411044.5%49 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Nongshim RedForce18c358.11$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4635331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed DRX51c344.73$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8418444.6%82 W · 102 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2655…eaa4backed Nongshim RedForce14c335.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477930.4%24 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d91…b09abacked Nongshim RedForce67c308.05$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.391040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked DRX38c300$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18712750.4%64 W · 63 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c6…ff7dbacked DRX47c275$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Nongshim RedForce27c272.96$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.73537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed DRX38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Nongshim RedForce53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec10…ff8cbacked DRX41c244.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.121050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Nongshim RedForce74c243.5$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808062.5%50 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x156b…c533backed Nongshim RedForce64c241.34$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.375768.4%39 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed DRX38c240.13$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8841537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Nongshim RedForce63c239.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.196640.9%27 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked DRX55c232.21$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.621,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed DRX56c232.2$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1227947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Nongshim RedForce55c227.27$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12524457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507c…6c0cbacked DRX35c208.4$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Nongshim RedForce19c198.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.934045%18 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Nongshim RedForce65c191.33$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.543836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Nongshim RedForce62c188.23$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.77445.9%34 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ff…2199backed Nongshim RedForce65c185.16$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.652975.9%22 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfc…5ae0backed DRX38c182.41$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed DRX22c174.64$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.954342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked DRX54c169.14$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5345033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed DRX38c166.36$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0618735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed Nongshim RedForce41c163.41$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc17d…2134backed Nongshim RedForce63c156.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.61457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed DRX48c151.95$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.674642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Nongshim RedForce63c151.68$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5633753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Nongshim RedForce53c150.69$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.41,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked DRX38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9325444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa060…0747backed DRX65c149.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.712948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed DRX33c148.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1919240.1%77 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Nongshim RedForce78c142.13$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8634356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Nongshim RedForce63c138.7$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.38862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe849…758bbacked DRX72c137.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.911080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed DRX37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1422955%126 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed DRX38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.587347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.