TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbba…c191

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$509.48
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$361.88
Counter-Strike: Omega vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+178.2%+$558.88
Counter-Strike: home vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$95.67
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.04
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$324.09
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stagebacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$154.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$173.88
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.66
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$647.62
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$120.43
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.7
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,721Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$669.09
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked Vasco Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.28
Counter-Strike: SAW vs RoundsGG (BO1) - Esplay Elite Gaming Group Bbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.12
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$227.66
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$810
Counter-Strike: BIG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.32
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,478Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,477.82
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$188.37
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,477Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,600.57
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$949Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$511
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$367.8
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$2,651.99
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.91
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$600.67
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.11
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.97
LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked Onion Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.4
LoL: Solary vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.63
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$101.79
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.4
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.38
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,207.88
Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS (BO5) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.91
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.51
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 2 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$511.48
Valorant: DRX vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$568.68
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.86
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+128.5%+$612.76
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$210.7
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked YFP Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.39
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Evil Geniuses Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.47
Valorant: WIP Esports vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffsbacked WIP Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$108.43
Valorant: All Gamers vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$236.54
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+67.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,029.58
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,058.33
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Roman Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,036.19
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Quillan Salkilld · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$110.4
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,044.71
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$412
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Bryczek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$779.44
UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kody Steele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$262.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,879.88
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,944Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,088.82
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$574.42
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$562.98
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.86
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$105.6
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.69
All 7 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,944Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,046.99
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Team Stels (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Team Stels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$259.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.