TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiN Academyof Vasco Esports, paiN Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,498
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,498 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe461…c526backed Vasco Esports45c3,595$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed paiN Academy50c3,192$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.8820554.1%111 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Vasco Esports49c2,662$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.517,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked paiN Academy41c1,666$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.75,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed paiN Academy55c1,004$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.118953.9%48 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Vasco Esports23c842$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.735,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed paiN Academy51c834.39$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.724,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked paiN Academy69c754.44$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.9722534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Vasco Esports59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41357641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed paiN Academy42c620.6$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.8614955%82 W · 67 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed paiN Academy42c615.21$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.995,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed paiN Academy50c566.1$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.4116653%88 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Vasco Esports47c509.26$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.3815441.6%64 W · 90 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6752…d728backed Vasco Esports57c501.51$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked paiN Academy65c458.18$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.714,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN Academy56c421.33$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.655,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Vasco Esports25c403.32$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0720440.7%83 W · 121 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed paiN Academy64c402.43$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.362,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbba…c191backed Vasco Esports41c385.35$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.282055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Vasco Esports31c350$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.062,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Vasco Esports60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017758.2%103 W · 74 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Vasco Esports50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15094645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed paiN Academy75c300$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.481,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Vasco Esports50c300$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1678348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7899…cdfebacked Vasco Esports59c285.8$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.623243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked paiN Academy41c280.75$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6412045%54 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed paiN Academy71c277.76$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.531,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2c…a57ebacked paiN Academy56c247.99$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked paiN Academy59c243.09$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.012,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Vasco Esports41c241.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked paiN Academy74c225.84$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5810950.5%55 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked paiN Academy63c225.67$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.451,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc297…b1eabacked Vasco Esports50c212.9$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.451650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Vasco Esports49c208.29$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10230031.7%95 W · 205 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Vasco Esports58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11632844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Vasco Esports57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Vasco Esports58c188.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5315747.1%74 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed paiN Academy50c187$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.55356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Vasco Esports59c169.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked paiN Academy50c167$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.893,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed paiN Academy52c161.79$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.552,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Vasco Esports56c156.72$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.525142.6%107 W · 144 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked paiN Academy49c156.6$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.878949.4%44 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed paiN Academy50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7510753.3%57 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed paiN Academy56c147.73$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.371,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Vasco Esports58c144.23$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.659537.9%36 W · 59 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf66…b444backed Vasco Esports47c140$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.772025%5 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked Vasco Esports56c136.77$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7726048.8%127 W · 133 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed paiN Academy53c133$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5120055%110 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Vasco Esports23c132.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Vasco Esports44c126.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.346,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed paiN Academy48c124$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.482,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Vasco Esports58c121.39$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.392934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Vasco Esports29c114.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.782,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked paiN Academy43c107.84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.471,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Vasco Esports43c104.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4523038.3%88 W · 142 L-15.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed paiN Academy54c102$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9214055%77 W · 63 L-0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed paiN Academy60c100.9$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.011,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Vasco Esports48c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.938753.2%206 W · 181 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1afd…427ebacked Vasco Esports50c99.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.674864.6%31 W · 17 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Vasco Esports42c98.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3696543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Vasco Esports46c96.47$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2473948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a03…279abacked Vasco Esports53c93.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-82.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Vasco Esports40c90.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.14,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed paiN Academy55c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.964058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Vasco Esports32c87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8428434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Vasco Esports52c84.36$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6735148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed paiN Academy41c77.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.01850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Vasco Esports57c75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7510545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f5a…bc49backed paiN Academy66c74.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked paiN Academy63c65.9$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.281,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1174…059abacked paiN Academy54c65.47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.862352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked Vasco Esports50c60.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.259349.5%46 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Vasco Esports55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1537841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed paiN Academy69c51.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.984,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeba1…838bbacked paiN Academy46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2710350.5%52 W · 51 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked paiN Academy72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed paiN Academy43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.599148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb08…5a4bbacked paiN Academy58c41.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e2b…19a4backed Vasco Esports46c41.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.985923.7%14 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e2c…359fbacked paiN Academy50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011057.3%63 W · 47 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Vasco Esports52c38.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.141,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Vasco Esports50c38.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0817257.6%99 W · 73 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x933d…a2dabacked Vasco Esports39c35.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Vasco Esports47c35.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.641,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Vasco Esports58c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.329752.2%155 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Vasco Esports58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039840.5%161 W · 237 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed paiN Academy60c33.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.65863.8%37 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7089…7351backed Vasco Esports48c33.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92040%8 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed paiN Academy61c32.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9379951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed paiN Academy52c32.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.46253.2%33 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Vasco Esports60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186851.5%35 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked paiN Academy48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e8e…6461backed Vasco Esports57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa530…88f6backed paiN Academy67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed Vasco Esports58c29.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0623158.4%135 W · 96 L-1.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b3…cbe0backed paiN Academy55c21.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.823680.6%29 W · 7 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick63cpaid+27.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed paiN Academy47c21.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4710854.6%59 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764c…c68abacked paiN Academy65c21.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.54875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x351a…f836backed paiN Academy71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.84774.5%35 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.