CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5092e5e5115486fe3df9dd962c82c70fdb738991cbcbc29c44d8d4624d429930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 62c | 3,223$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.15 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 1,098$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.73 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…c191backed Over | 40c | 849.14$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.48 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Over | 38c | 836.89$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.87 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Over | 38c | 817$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.54 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 38c | 675.81$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 40c | 460$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.1 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 60c | 391.19$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.61 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Over | 39c | 330$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 60c | 287.49$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 51c | 287.1$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.12 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 69c | 271.5$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.05 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Under | 61c | 271.45$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c9…0c60backed Under | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e62…9121backed Under | 72c | 232.43$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over | 39c | 217.95$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.95 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 55c | 172.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Over | 37c | 162.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 64c | 145.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 42c | 140.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 14c | 119$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 50c | 116.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 36c | 112.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 39c | 103$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 37c | 99.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Over | 39c | 99.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 58c | 96.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3478…b5f5backed Under | 72c | 88.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked Over | 39c | 73.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 28c | 60.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 62c | 53.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Under | 20c | 53.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 377 | 57.8%218 W · 159 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Over | 55c | 45.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 41c | 43.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 62c | 37.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Under | 62c | 23.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…a321backed Under | 63c | 19.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 70c | 15.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)Gentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.