TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gentle Matesof MOUZ, Gentle Mates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,048

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ65c14,527$9,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,472.1675758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gentle Mates27c9,282$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,777.683,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde8f…2c72backed MOUZ52c5,282$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,74428056.4%158 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Gentle Mates51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Gentle Mates50c3,826$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.4216245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked MOUZ49c2,051$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Gentle Mates50c1,790$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.226743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed MOUZ46c1,723$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked MOUZ48c1,642$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78827552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Gentle Mates53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70518846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed MOUZ49c1,500$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72918547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Gentle Mates51c1,373$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.5575145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Gentle Mates50c1,333$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.51,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gentle Mates48c1,097$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.493,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked MOUZ49c1,016$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.635940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Gentle Mates52c888$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.241,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked MOUZ47c838.13$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39439157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Gentle Mates51c620.03$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.8228738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8227…0bccbacked MOUZ52c608.47$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.572065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Gentle Mates51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29416447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb995…4cc4backed Gentle Mates48c581.29$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.27650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed MOUZ56c528.67$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.8710442.3%44 W · 60 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed MOUZ52c521.25$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5764058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked MOUZ49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24543640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Gentle Mates52c499.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.991,03739.8%413 W · 624 L+20.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked MOUZ51c411.76$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21031451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ48c404.21$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.915,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x592c…ee32backed MOUZ51c328.57$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.516657.6%38 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed MOUZ48c299.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14432136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Gentle Mates52c299.97$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9850846.9%238 W · 270 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Gentle Mates51c258.07$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3217644.9%79 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Gentle Mates54c241.72$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4933459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed MOUZ54c238.92$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8778952%410 W · 379 L+26.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ45c225.84$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.631,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bca…8a0cbacked MOUZ47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed MOUZ50c208.16$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0813058.5%76 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Gentle Mates51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9858343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Gentle Mates53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9438954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde19…3a14backed MOUZ53c175.47$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9312552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked MOUZ63c170$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.438157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65c5…2862backed MOUZ48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Gentle Mates52c149.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.526245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed MOUZ67c146.93$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.454951%25 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc4e…c150backed MOUZ51c136.85$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8616856%94 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Gentle Mates27c113.69$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.721,64332.8%539 W · 1,104 L-48.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Gentle Mates55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.092740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed MOUZ46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469954.5%54 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed MOUZ48c97.37$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7415740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda11…25c3backed Gentle Mates54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8f…4449backed Gentle Mates54c91.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.062948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed Gentle Mates54c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.420732.4%67 W · 140 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Gentle Mates49c77.4$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.811,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5844…12e2backed Gentle Mates55c69.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.091145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked MOUZ46c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3654348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x989e…6529backed MOUZ48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013040%52 W · 78 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…19efbacked Gentle Mates52c61.69$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed MOUZ50c60.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.041,36066.3%901 W · 459 L+75.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed MOUZ52c58.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9773548.4%356 W · 379 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Gentle Mates52c55.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5538848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b1…b470backed MOUZ48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c82…5a52backed MOUZ49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed MOUZ49c50.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8821650.9%110 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…7611backed MOUZ69c49.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.33862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Gentle Mates52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.089758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ36c47.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.362,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Gentle Mates52c46.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2215349.7%76 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Gentle Mates50c45.84$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.743562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b8a…5f0ebacked MOUZ49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked MOUZ48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.281246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Gentle Mates53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1998248.3%474 W · 508 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Gentle Mates50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2016946.2%78 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed Gentle Mates54c36.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.738754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed MOUZ52c36.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1941439.1%162 W · 252 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed MOUZ47c31.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518043.3%78 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a79…6acebacked Gentle Mates54c31.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.573265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x130e…cc45backed MOUZ46c31.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5250%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed MOUZ48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed MOUZ49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1549947.5%237 W · 262 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Gentle Mates50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158146.9%38 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed MOUZ50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1593261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked MOUZ47c27.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0884554.4%460 W · 385 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a29…836dbacked Gentle Mates54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7710260.8%62 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1394…a321backed MOUZ48c24.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.973554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Gentle Mates42c24.55$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.161,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90a…f6b5backed MOUZ53c20.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112165.3%79 W · 42 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9408…80e4backed Gentle Mates50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed MOUZ58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.623158.4%135 W · 96 L-1.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Gentle Mates56c19.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6311259.8%67 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Gentle Mates55c18.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3576248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.