TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, Gentle Mates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1485…f4b2backed Gentle Mates0c70,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Gentle Mates38c12,938$4,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,910.5137646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gentle Mates28c12,856$3,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,548.23,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ70c8,999$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.5988746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ64c8,106$5,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.331,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ69c8,021$5,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.661,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ64c7,187$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.4176058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2df3…d7e5backed Gentle Mates35c5,605$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed MOUZ76c4,567$3,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.7738868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ65c3,337$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.781,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…c7a1backed MOUZ67c3,202$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.961353.8%7 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick70cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed MOUZ72c1,989$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.811,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Gentle Mates35c1,704$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Gentle Mates23c1,673$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.323,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ71c1,487$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.161,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates37c1,468$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.696,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked MOUZ72c1,456$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.3939970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ59c1,300$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.874,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Gentle Mates35c1,086$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.41,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Gentle Mates55c1,036$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.1734156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed Gentle Mates18c1,031$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6912848.4%62 W · 66 L-11.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Gentle Mates33c1,010$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.35,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Gentle Mates28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28019543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Gentle Mates30c988.02$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.6555843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Gentle Mates27c846.29$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.884841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Gentle Mates56c812.52$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.9165650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed MOUZ67c745.7$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.71,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ70c708.77$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.865,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed MOUZ71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.232832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-39.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked Gentle Mates44c665.91$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29015838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Gentle Mates20c629.19$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.552,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Gentle Mates16c600$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1160838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Gentle Mates10c585.76$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.144,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Gentle Mates21c565.29$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.063562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9700…798fbacked MOUZ70c565$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8512852.3%67 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Gentle Mates36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Gentle Mates33c540.5$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0915740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Gentle Mates39c519.29$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.882,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked MOUZ68c510.74$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.4442149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Gentle Mates33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16553444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Gentle Mates26c487.06$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.332,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Gentle Mates30c455$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.842,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Gentle Mates42c448.03$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9346345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…b170backed Gentle Mates22c438.76$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3511442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ66c421.03$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.312,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked MOUZ79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7525070.8%177 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Gentle Mates33c378.33$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.058246.3%38 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ79c370.98$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.987,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked Gentle Mates40c365$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14615646.8%73 W · 83 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed Gentle Mates55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006949.3%34 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Gentle Mates54c354.17$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.410748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ66c350.97$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7146149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates25c340.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.935,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Gentle Mates27c333.68$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5519329%56 W · 137 L-23.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates24c328.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.65,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Gentle Mates24c323.01$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.912,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ69c316.16$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.512,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked MOUZ67c313.43$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4331451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Gentle Mates34c305.44$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.454734%16 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Gentle Mates33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Gentle Mates30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9044939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked Gentle Mates34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025045.2%113 W · 137 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Gentle Mates32c292.01$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.840141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Gentle Mates33c280.94$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.491743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Gentle Mates23c280.28$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.964,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Gentle Mates27c270.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.171,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Gentle Mates37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Gentle Mates33c234.73$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1344343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Gentle Mates44c226.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4650846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked MOUZ67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8841069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72cf…ed6fbacked MOUZ77c223.05$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.481190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed MOUZ72c208.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3820344.3%90 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed Gentle Mates31c206.14$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.932544.3%144 W · 181 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ71c199.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.482,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Gentle Mates30c183.89$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.175251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Gentle Mates31c181.94$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.421952.5%115 W · 104 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Gentle Mates32c171.31$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7210736.4%39 W · 68 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed Gentle Mates12c170.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0321135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed MOUZ68c164.71$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.712548%12 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-27%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ80c163.77$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.752,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Gentle Mates30c160$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.128657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed MOUZ47c159.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.794553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ79c156.8$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.082,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45a7…bc63backed MOUZ73c152.74$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.748847.7%42 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Gentle Mates22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3332042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Gentle Mates25c139.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.632,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4484…9defbacked Gentle Mates32c138.4$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.619445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed MOUZ76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5820462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked MOUZ70c130$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3912637.3%47 W · 79 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates30c125.91$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.234,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked MOUZ52c125$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.58852.3%46 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Gentle Mates35c123$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.446225.8%16 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked Gentle Mates17c111.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4841516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x962d…dc4cbacked Gentle Mates62c108.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678151.9%42 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09fd…60f7backed Gentle Mates32c107.34$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348322.9%19 W · 64 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Gentle Mates21c106.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.339152.7%48 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05e…04cebacked MOUZ80c100.48$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4819259.4%114 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Gentle Mates52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5218442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Gentle Mates25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517236%62 W · 110 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed MOUZ50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.