TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72cf…ed6f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT3568.6%24 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.15
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$18.87
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$57.64
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$11.33
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$28.04
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$42.7
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.85
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$27.95
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.45
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$95.01
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.22
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$46.51
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$23.52
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$17.79
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$23.15
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.32
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$36.05
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$41.09
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$18.79
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$5.38
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$6.13
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.06
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$5.69
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$14.38
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$10.73
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.55
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$15.12
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$19.31
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+30%+$51.48
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+38%+$7.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$10.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.