CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88b764ab884107bd12adca9717c8af06e5775340fc09b611f58581dde0a6f4f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monteof Monte, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Monte | 65c | 8,924$5,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.34 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed magic | 51c | 2,869$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.13 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed magic | 46c | 2,624$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.52 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed magic | 80c | 2,515$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed magic | 8c | 2,386$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked magic | 45c | 2,306$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.99 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Monte | 51c | 2,053$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.41 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked magic | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked magic | 58c | 1,711$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.41 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed magic | 45c | 1,644$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.47 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed magic | 63c | 1,610$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.3 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked magic | 47c | 1,547$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.36 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed magic | 25c | 1,526$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.48 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked magic | 48c | 1,350$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.96 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed magic | 54c | 1,221$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.23 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked magic | 45c | 1,194$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.05 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Monte | 52c | 1,143$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.02 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked magic | 38c | 1,141$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.83 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Monte | 55c | 1,084$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.44 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked magic | 53c | 1,070$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.99 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Monte | 47c | 1,058$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.69 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 47c | 1,042$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.26 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Monte | 66c | 982.66$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.38 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed magic | 43c | 978.6$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.32 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Monte | 58c | 969.37$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.37 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…cd91backed Monte | 51c | 931.97$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.48 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked magic | 74c | 872.23$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.9 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Monte | 39c | 847.45$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.94 | 659 | 50.4%332 W · 327 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed magic | 48c | 804.63$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.55 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed magic | 44c | 798.82$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.48 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed magic | 37c | 755.99$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.58 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Monte | 57c | 750$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Monte | 43c | 718$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.52 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed magic | 27c | 700$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.46 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked magic | 36c | 691.22$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.11 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked magic | 46c | 637.79$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.07 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed magic | 40c | 632.1$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.33 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Monte | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Monte | 58c | 573.42$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.51 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Monte | 45c | 572.32$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.78 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Monte | 47c | 530.31$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.48 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed Monte | 35c | 517.14$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.14 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked magic | 17c | 490$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Monte | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Monte | 45c | 425.7$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.14 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed magic | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed magic | 15c | 390$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed Monte | 51c | 389.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.62 | 155 | 33.5%52 W · 103 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked magic | 37c | 344.24$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Monte | 47c | 338.83$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.62 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked magic | 65c | 336.52$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.42 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Monte | 50c | 300.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.09 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed magic | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed Monte | 37c | 260.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.24 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed magic | 47c | 254.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.83 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed magic | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed magic | 19c | 245$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed magic | 15c | 243.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed magic | 46c | 218.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Monte | 67c | 213.45$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed magic | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed magic | 63c | 207.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 229 | 56.8%130 W · 99 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed magic | 49c | 204.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…999bbacked Monte | 28c | 178.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Monte | 53c | 176.37$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed magic | 44c | 172.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 358 | 48%172 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed magic | 51c | 166.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f7cfbacked Monte | 60c | 150.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed magic | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed magic | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed magic | 43c | 142.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed magic | 35c | 140.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked magic | 53c | 137.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Monte | 38c | 134.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1485…f4b2backed magic | 53c | 132.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Monte | 33c | 129.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Monte | 54c | 127.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed magic | 46c | 122.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…abbbbacked magic | 14c | 122.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked magic | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Monte | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte | 40c | 117.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Monte | 51c | 114.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Monte | 55c | 112.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…a298backed Monte | 77c | 106.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Monte | 38c | 103.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Monte | 23c | 103.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Monte | 48c | 101.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Monte | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Monte | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 403 | 49.1%198 W · 205 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed magic | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked magic | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed magic | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Monte | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…0cadbacked magic | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed magic | 51c | 99.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Monte | 47c | 97.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Monte | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked magic | 42c | 89.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…bebabacked Monte | 75c | 86.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageMonte won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)Monte won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.