CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa653d6685d1c799be965cfc78f28f1ade624bc9a1409812a605c5e0b2358f848
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monteof Monte, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $446,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $444,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Monte | 57c | 61,491$35,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,224.58 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed magic | 43c | 50,000$21,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,499.79 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Monte | 58c | 43,171$25,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,131.81 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Monte | 57c | 41,029$23,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,642.51 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked magic | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Monte | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.92 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 44c | 28,221$12,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,494.81 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Monte | 56c | 25,775$14,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,298.54 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Monte | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.96 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed magic | 44c | 24,078$10,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,586.89 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed magic | 19c | 18,023$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.4 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed magic | 44c | 15,300$6,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,724 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked magic | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked magic | 44c | 13,000$5,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,655 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed magic | 44c | 11,364$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Monte | 56c | 11,111$6,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.83 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked magic | 20c | 10,379$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.67 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed magic | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.99 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked magic | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked magic | 43c | 8,965$3,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,854.84 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Monte | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.93 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Monte | 56c | 8,736$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.74 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c90…1b59backed magic | 42c | 8,009$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked magic | 44c | 6,879$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.27 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed magic | 42c | 6,300$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked Monte | 56c | 6,118$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.16 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Monte | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked magic | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Monte | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked magic | 21c | 4,635$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.43 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked magic | 44c | 4,388$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.54 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked magic | 46c | 4,170$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913 | 200 | 41.5%83 W · 117 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed magic | 46c | 4,032$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.29 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Monte | 53c | 4,000$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked magic | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed magic | 21c | 3,759$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.62 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed magic | 44c | 3,466$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.14 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Monte | 64c | 3,200$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.03 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed magic | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…f38bbacked Monte | 79c | 2,849$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.37 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Monte | 59c | 2,826$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.7 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed Monte | 56c | 2,700$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked magic | 41c | 2,404$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.01 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed magic | 42c | 2,390$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed magic | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed magic | 58c | 1,831$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.77 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed magic | 43c | 1,749$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.84 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Monte | 63c | 1,570$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.37 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…9a41backed magic | 51c | 1,533$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Monte | 58c | 1,519$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.04 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Monte | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Monte | 57c | 1,500$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked magic | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed magic | 47c | 1,484$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.11 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…1db7backed Monte | 80c | 1,427$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Monte | 65c | 1,364$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.42 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked magic | 50c | 1,355$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.55 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed magic | 28c | 1,342$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.86 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Monte | 57c | 1,300$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Monte | 53c | 1,257$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.79 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Monte | 73c | 1,250$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.62 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked magic | 15c | 1,249$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Monte | 57c | 1,227$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.48 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed magic | 44c | 1,163$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.72 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Monte | 61c | 1,135$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.39 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…69b3backed magic | 43c | 1,133$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.11 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Monte | 53c | 1,126$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked magic | 43c | 1,086$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Monte | 62c | 1,043$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.71 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked magic | 41c | 1,029$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.31 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic | 41c | 1,001$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.28 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Monte | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b03…5778backed magic | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed magic | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed magic | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Monte | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Monte | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed magic | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked magic | 42c | 964.15$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.94 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed magic | 42c | 930.55$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.83 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Monte | 61c | 914.3$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.41 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked magic | 26c | 907.77$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.38 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed magic | 13c | 848.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.29 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Monte | 56c | 823.99$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.56 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked magic | 39c | 798.08$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.42 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked magic | 54c | 774.53$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed magic | 39c | 763$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.57 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked magic | 48c | 736.01$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.23 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed magic | 41c | 676.94$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660a…3d22backed Monte | 53c | 658.62$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.62 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x169f…5e6cbacked Monte | 80c | 650$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed magic | 42c | 644.34$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.66 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed magic | 34c | 634.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Monte | 59c | 612.18$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.27 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed magic | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed Monte | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked magic | 58c | 598.84$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed magic | 44c | 585.93$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.81 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed magic | 24c | 551$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Monte | 57c | 550$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic - Map 1 WinnerMonte won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)Monte won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.