TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb3d2…f38b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$430.56
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winnerbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.18
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.99
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.91
Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,251Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$598.37
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.37
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$643.5
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,280
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.6
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.51
Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group Abacked Akimbo Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+192.1%+$287.93
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$60
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Tricked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked ESC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$137.7
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$111.99
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.9
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50.28
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,150
Stable FDV above $6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$49.72
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$154.28
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5.25
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,617Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+47.4%+$1,239.84
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+36.9%+$125.37
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$650.33
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$995.98
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$463.23
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.5
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$232.7
Will FARTCOIN be listed on Hyperliquid this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$125
OpenSea airdrop before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.6
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-57.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$8,669Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,669.45
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,853Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,853.01
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.56
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$4,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,286.6
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$572
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$62.28
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.41
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)backed Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,240.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+42%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+64.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$193.62
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$148.82
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+60.2%+$36.14
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+46.1%+$47.59
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+155.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$8,295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+532.9%+$44,205
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Malta win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+33.2%+$24.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$160
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+29.9%+$142.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+244.8%+$124.25
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$52.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.5
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$222.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $140 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Solana reach $190 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$182.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+348.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+348.4%+$85.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+31.6%+$21.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$168.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$266
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Raiders draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.