Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c70aeb9c4da92f0fa2a46e1e98ecc9b1d11090b16542a5d1a60154de848b71e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee3b…8dcfbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 32,501$20,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,006.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed MOUZ | 33c | 22,686$7,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,470.37 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked PARIVISION | 69c | 17,497$12,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,435.57 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed MOUZ | 36c | 15,900$5,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,795.75 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed MOUZ | 41c | 14,217$5,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,885.62 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed MOUZ | 32c | 13,105$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256.56 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 18c | 12,476$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.12 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed MOUZ | 39c | 11,970$4,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,681.25 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 11,931$9,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.5 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed MOUZ | 30c | 7,386$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.74 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 32c | 7,099$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.09 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed PARIVISION | 62c | 6,500$4,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.15 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed MOUZ | 37c | 5,924$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.61 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed PARIVISION | 69c | 5,369$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.05 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed PARIVISION | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 4,168$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.2 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed PARIVISION | 58c | 4,138$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.93 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 39c | 3,606$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.98 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked MOUZ | 18c | 3,462$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.81 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 2,871$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.84 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked PARIVISION | 58c | 2,853$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ | 44c | 2,806$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.51 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed PARIVISION | 63c | 2,653$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.41 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed MOUZ | 36c | 2,561$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.15 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 2,420$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.41 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed MOUZ | 30c | 2,313$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.9 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked PARIVISION | 70c | 2,286$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.71 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed MOUZ | 41c | 2,142$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.38 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 34c | 2,132$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.56 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed MOUZ | 23c | 2,056$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.97 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked PARIVISION | 61c | 1,925$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.95 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed PARIVISION | 61c | 1,648$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.95 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 1,597$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.77 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked MOUZ | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed PARIVISION | 68c | 1,473$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.94 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed PARIVISION | 69c | 1,459$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.13 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,393$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.64 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.92 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 34c | 1,234$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.32 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2697…8144backed MOUZ | 16c | 1,151$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed MOUZ | 41c | 1,026$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.17 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed PARIVISION | 60c | 913.88$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.75 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed MOUZ | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked MOUZ | 32c | 838.28$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed PARIVISION | 60c | 834$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed PARIVISION | 71c | 783.79$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.3 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ | 48c | 770$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.9 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed MOUZ | 14c | 704.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…74c1backed MOUZ | 19c | 646.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed MOUZ | 4c | 622.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed MOUZ | 21c | 573.47$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed PARIVISION | 67c | 561.71$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.37 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…57aebacked PARIVISION | 58c | 505$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 500.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed MOUZ | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…0c92backed MOUZ | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…2b42backed MOUZ | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…01c8backed PARIVISION | 64c | 470.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed PARIVISION | 71c | 466.55$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…3e80backed PARIVISION | 72c | 424.42$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.84 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…173ebacked MOUZ | 22c | 415.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed PARIVISION | 64c | 400$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 382.3$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed MOUZ | 30c | 381.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed PARIVISION | 70c | 366.29$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed MOUZ | 38c | 365.16$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.37 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked PARIVISION | 60c | 361.18$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed PARIVISION | 70c | 357.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed MOUZ | 17c | 345.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a7…0795backed PARIVISION | 58c | 341.38$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…14adbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…dacbbacked MOUZ | 16c | 325$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked MOUZ | 22c | 323.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked MOUZ | 42c | 320.77$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…54febacked PARIVISION | 58c | 315.84$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…2443backed MOUZ | 36c | 314.03$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…543bbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 310$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed MOUZ | 19c | 300.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked MOUZ | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked MOUZ | 28c | 267.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed PARIVISION | 69c | 253.85$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed MOUZ | 30c | 249.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed MOUZ | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcca…64f6backed MOUZ | 18c | 230.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed MOUZ | 44c | 228.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed MOUZ | 44c | 224.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked MOUZ | 45c | 222.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed MOUZ | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed MOUZ | 21c | 215$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed PARIVISION | 72c | 208.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed PARIVISION | 58c | 201.27$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed PARIVISION | 61c | 199.68$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed MOUZ | 42c | 190.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…34f7backed MOUZ | 17c | 190$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked MOUZ | 44c | 181.26$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…1443backed PARIVISION | 70c | 180.35$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed MOUZ | 15c | 178$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…5ff1backed PARIVISION | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.