TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5341…2b42

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT4753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$640
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$437.8
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,300
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+156.4%+$641.28
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$3,600
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$510
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+203%+$1,076.06
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+150%+$1,065
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$908.57
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,399Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+117.4%+$1,641.86
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+614.3%+$1,228.57
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$319.67
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$140.83
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$118.2
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+39.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$380
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$1,231.94
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+156.4%+$766.41
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$310
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+127.3%+$162.91
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+244.8%+$73.45
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltonbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$84.38
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Open de Moselle: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+59.8%+$29.91
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+185.7%+$130
Hellenic Championship: Yannick Hanfmann vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Open de Moselle: Hugo Gaston vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Open de Moselle: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+170.3%+$45.97
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$40.45
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+122.2%+$36.67
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 18 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$440
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$362.64
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+58.7%+$587.3
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$183.33
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+61.8%+$213.04
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+127.3%+$190.91
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+71.4%+$792.34
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$130.3
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+217%+$75.97
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$29.9
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alonzo Menifield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Kai Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$97.22
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yi Sak Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jose Henrique · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Jingnan Xiong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Jaqueline Amorim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Luis Gurule (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$110.68
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$323.08
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$705
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$384.55
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$367.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.