Tennis · resolved market
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30b90a4f4306808b5a22829df004e33bf2b8bf9cfa004949550fbda8a17f762d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabalenkaof Sabalenka, Pegula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $395,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $492,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Pegula | 25c | 50,275$12,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,368.65 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Sabalenka | 75c | 36,821$27,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,099.08 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Sabalenka | 76c | 32,757$24,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,003.89 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Pegula | 25c | 24,774$6,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,193.54 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +119%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pegula | 15c | 19,566$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.47 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adb…a902backed Pegula | 27c | 18,760$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Sabalenka | 75c | 18,234$13,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,558.54 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Sabalenka | 73c | 13,918$10,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,757.86 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x857c…cb02backed Pegula | 25c | 12,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pegula | 4c | 10,221$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.71 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pegula | 24c | 7,602$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.46 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Sabalenka | 80c | 7,587$6,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.22 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Sabalenka | 75c | 5,333$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Sabalenka | 74c | 5,093$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.62 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Pegula | 29c | 4,609$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.12 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Sabalenka | 75c | 4,015$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.75 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pegula | 26c | 3,745$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.27 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Pegula | 11c | 3,312$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.36 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Pegula | 30c | 3,082$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Pegula | 58c | 3,000$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.76 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1b…3c9ebacked Pegula | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Sabalenka | 76c | 2,939$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.47 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf8…b8eabacked Sabalenka | 78c | 2,751$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Sabalenka | 59c | 2,697$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.91 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pegula | 27c | 2,553$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.44 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…4a13backed Pegula | 27c | 2,368$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac7d…6bdabacked Sabalenka | 69c | 2,211$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…caffbacked Sabalenka | 75c | 2,192$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.98 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Sabalenka | 75c | 2,120$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…6549backed Pegula | 14c | 2,086$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7915…f32fbacked Pegula | 31c | 2,084$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.57 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Pegula | 18c | 2,083$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.68 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Sabalenka | 75c | 2,013$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.85 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Pegula | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Pegula | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabalenka | 67c | 1,964$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.75 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sabalenka | 60c | 1,728$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.74 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Pegula | 24c | 1,700$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.98 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Sabalenka | 76c | 1,696$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.06 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Sabalenka | 62c | 1,507$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.56 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77dd…926dbacked Pegula | 27c | 1,499$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…3a3ebacked Sabalenka | 68c | 1,430$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Pegula | 39c | 1,288$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 248 | 52%129 W · 119 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Sabalenka | 59c | 1,227$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.92 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed Pegula | 31c | 1,163$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Pegula | 35c | 1,153$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Sabalenka | 76c | 1,095$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.74 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Pegula | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Pegula | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sabalenka | 72c | 979.58$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.77 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…a614backed Sabalenka | 55c | 906.11$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…dd42backed Sabalenka | 45c | 894.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Pegula | 16c | 878.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Pegula | 23c | 877.54$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Sabalenka | 77c | 876.61$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.92 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Sabalenka | 71c | 857.64$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.51 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…8f4ebacked Pegula | 18c | 852.32$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Pegula | 23c | 788.69$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.65 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Pegula | 16c | 740$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Pegula | 25c | 628.97$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.29 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Pegula | 49c | 628.87$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.51 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pegula | 27c | 600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Pegula | 27c | 575.37$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.3 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Sabalenka | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pegula | 30c | 542.57$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.66 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Sabalenka | 75c | 532.56$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pegula | 24c | 521$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.04 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Pegula | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Sabalenka | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Pegula | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Pegula | 35c | 491.15$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Sabalenka | 75c | 467.26$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.81 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Pegula | 31c | 451.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Pegula | 4c | 429.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Pegula | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f2…212ebacked Sabalenka | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…0afebacked Sabalenka | 73c | 399.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…8cb2backed Pegula | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc08b…e35bbacked Sabalenka | 72c | 375.24$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x728f…b55dbacked Pegula | 15c | 373.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed Sabalenka | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…2ababacked Pegula | 25c | 370$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Sabalenka | 77c | 369$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Pegula | 46c | 332.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Pegula | 24c | 330$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…29d6backed Sabalenka | 63c | 317.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…2a71backed Sabalenka | 75c | 312.51$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…c0eebacked Sabalenka | 79c | 301.24$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb961…b69ebacked Sabalenka | 47c | 299.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…68e4backed Sabalenka | 62c | 278.97$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Pegula | 16c | 278.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Sabalenka | 75c | 278$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked Pegula | 39c | 244.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Sabalenka | 75c | 236$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 264 | 62.1%164 W · 100 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Sabalenka | 74c | 225.77$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…04b8backed Sabalenka | 75c | 202.08$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Sabalenka | 75c | 200.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 103 | 72.8%75 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Pegula | 60c | 196.52$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Pegula | 26c | 179.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Sabalenka | 61c | 175.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.