TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc08b…e35b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST6259.7%37 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$90
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+334.8%+$100.43
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+300%+$90
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$126.38
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11.9
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$182
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+177.8%+$53.33
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Ghana win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Will Gibraltar win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Montenegro win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+257.1%+$77.14
Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+257.1%+$128.57
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+41.1%+$20.56
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Austria win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Italy win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Afghanistan win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid+16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+719.7%+$215.91
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+100.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+122.2%+$146.58
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$89.45
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+33.6%+$102.9
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+298.7%+$364.12
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+81%+$109.5
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+426.3%+$143.24
Hellenic Championship: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$37.9
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+39.3%+$105.91
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
USC Trojans vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$74.27
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+62.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+225.1%+$138.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.4%+$82.27
Stable FDV above $6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$176.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.