AI · resolved market
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad5b65f7fdccdde8778e76ded66ee5d7aa7750e48116f7736d495bd6000af5bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 4c | 5,326$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 14c | 4,352$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.36 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 73c | 3,569$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 28c | 3,392$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.16 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 6c | 3,123$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.48 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 7c | 3,090$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.95 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked No | 10c | 2,312$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.78 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…eeaabacked Yes | 74c | 2,287$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cad…d35cbacked No | 10c | 2,002$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f2c0backed No | 27c | 1,521$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…1f97backed No | 33c | 1,513$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 1,424$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc012…6180backed No | 28c | 1,396$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 16c | 1,211$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 64c | 1,190$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.78 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed Yes | 71c | 936.85$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.55 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9722…5304backed Yes | 77c | 912.51$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 26c | 855$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…aa62backed Yes | 72c | 817.02$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 31c | 812.32$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.47 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 13c | 800$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 4c | 674.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 72c | 635.77$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.17 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 13c | 598.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…a11dbacked No | 31c | 575.25$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.81 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795a…b875backed No | 42c | 573.13$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed Yes | 62c | 563.99$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 22c | 500.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.62 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 42c | 481.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.57 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…b226backed No | 27c | 462.88$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…8816backed Yes | 77c | 459.59$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 28c | 456.63$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.68 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed No | 29c | 451.46$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…d7dfbacked Yes | 66c | 423.01$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e1…b3c6backed No | 68c | 407.35$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed No | 41c | 380.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 19c | 380.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 27c | 373.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 36c | 360.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.63 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 70c | 357.24$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 59c | 338.45$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…7935backed No | 43c | 313.73$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 18c | 300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0c…5e23backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…f11ebacked Yes | 69c | 290.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…bfcebacked Yes | 33c | 284.16$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +493.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked No | 23c | 281.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…82f1backed Yes | 66c | 259.96$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 67c | 254.48$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 64c | 238.59$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…29e9backed Yes | 42c | 230$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 30c | 215.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…6d70backed Yes | 23c | 213.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +326.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbef…4cd2backed No | 34c | 212.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a9…c917backed Yes | 21c | 211.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +369.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 36c | 210.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 30c | 201.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked No | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…3c4dbacked No | 28c | 198.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 195.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…8211backed Yes | 70c | 179.65$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 31c | 178.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…3834backed No | 59c | 176.7$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…bdd4backed Yes | 71c | 171.3$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 16c | 160.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 69c | 158.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aba…af7cbacked Yes | 13c | 156.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 77c | 153.78$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa609…4de6backed Yes | 67c | 146.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 33c | 141.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…dd4ebacked Yes | 72c | 139.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 70c | 138.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…f422backed Yes | 69c | 135.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…d8fdbacked Yes | 28c | 126.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea0…313bbacked No | 40c | 125.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 37c | 123.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe633…c0febacked No | 54c | 121.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 43c | 120.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…de74backed Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb08a…c850backed Yes | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 67c | 110.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked No | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…76f2backed No | 45c | 109.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 33c | 107.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 11c | 105.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 50c | 105$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…9f15backed No | 24c | 104.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92a1…6535backed Yes | 55c | 102.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…cadabacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…3129backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…b9b4backed No | 31c | 95.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 33c | 93.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…16a0backed No | 75c | 90$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…f3e9backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 73c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.