TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9998…e858

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
309
Categories scored
44
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Middle East, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 62 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT4461.4%27 W · 17 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+69.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$32.23
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$23.6
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$33
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.81
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?backed Leadership Change · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+506.3%+$136.8
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.22
Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+284.6%+$40.7
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.6
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.24
20+ trapped Hamas fighters allowed to leave in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.8
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.29
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+84%+$25.15
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+695%+$99.66
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT2733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$38.76
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.65
Will Putin visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.91
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.52
Another ATACMS strike into Russian territory by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.52
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.95
Adam Schiff federally charged by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.15
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.85
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 Under 5% by December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24.18
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+127.4%+$16.8
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+103.2%+$19.65
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.75
More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will Russia enter Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
U.S. announces resumption of direct flights to Russia before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Trump x Putin talk by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.21
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Trump admin announces cutting Ukraine aid by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$17.16
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+70.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+279.9%+$35.14
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Databricks vs Salesforce - higher valuation on June 30?backed Databricks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$19.76
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+183%+$26.6
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
AWS service disrupted by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$49.67
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+242.3%+$97.33
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
ChatGPT Outage by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$53.58
Google Gemini Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+222.6%+$27.6
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.23
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.6
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+188.3%+$25.4
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+105.3%+$10.77
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.07
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+810%+$93.7
Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+54.8%+$17.7
GPT transaction fees by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.86
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will Grok still be #1 Free app next Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.52
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye tweet again by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$19.71
Starmer approval Up or Down in April?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.56
Will Drake’s ice sculpture contain the album’s release date?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.75
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$27.6
USD - Korean Won exchange rate hits 1,500 by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.15
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+106.3%+$51.27
Choo Kyung-ho in jail by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+115%+$22.15
Romanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.76
Will NewJeans perform again in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.45
Rachel Reeves out as Chancellor of the Exchequer by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+222.6%+$24.15
Will I-dle reach #1 on Melon this week? (December 8 - 14)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12.31
Another MP leaves Conservative Party of Canada by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$23.07
Hong Kong Election: Geographical Constituency Seat Turnover >40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+153.9%+$59.44
Netherlands Parliamentary Election: D66 vs VVDbacked VVD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.1
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$9.25
Canada backs out of F-35 deal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will Trump make Canadians visiting U.S. register before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+222.7%+$41.35
Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+110.2%+$32.51
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeremiyah Love go top 10 in the 2026 Pro Football draft? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$33.54
Tua Tagovailoa traded by next season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$14.44
Stefon Diggs suspended this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Big Game: First Timeout?backed SEA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+117.4%+$21.6
Big Game: First TD Scorer Jersey Number O/U 19.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$59.01
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.95
Belichick out by end of 2025 college football season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+230.7%+$24.44
QBgami in Week 1 of NFL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27.2
Will the Colts sign Phillip Rivers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.6
Scorigami in NFL Week 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$24.55
NFL Sunday Week 10: Will an underdog win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18.48
Scorigami in NFL Week 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Scorigami in NFL Week 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.1
Scorigami in NFL Week 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$10.75
Will Christian McCaffrey play in Week 1 for the 49ers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Who will get drafted first: Shedeur Sanders or Jaxson Dart?backed Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+729.8%+$117.9
Will Shedeur Sanders be a top 5 draft pick?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+53.3%+$6.71
Will Trump invite the Philadelphia Eagles to the White House?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.78
Will Mustard perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+163.6%+$31.7
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$58.57
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
Major US official out by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.79
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Tony Gonzales out as US Rep by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+68.6%+$38.65
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18.9
Will Melania Trump sue Hunter Biden by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Trump endorse Conor McGregor for President of Ireland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+49.4%+$11.88
Trump cabinet member out before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+69.6%+$8.61
Will Trump visit Israel in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Trump agree to sell F-35 to Turkey before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$10.15
Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.02
Will Trump increase tariffs on China before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.47
Trump pauses any reciprocal tariff before Wednesday? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.98
Will Trump sign Bitcoin reserve executive order Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.78
All 19 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+265.6%+$145.16
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+84%+$12.09
Will Kanye release Bully Deluxe by June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.34
Will Charli XCX announce a new album by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.71
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Will Australia come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will any artist win 5+ Grammys this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Will a Sabrina Carpenter song reach #1 again this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.1%+$29.85
Will Justin Bieber's album "SWAG II" debut at #1 in its first week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+93.9%+$9.96
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+189.9%+$26.2
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+165.1%+$30.79
All 13 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+81.4%+$20.8
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
Will Boston Beer (SAM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will American Airlines Group (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.84
Will Churchill Downs (CHDN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Southwest Airlines (LUV) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+50.2%+$9.17
Will Las Vegas Sands (LVS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.18
Will Concentrix (CNXC) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+85.5%+$19.86
Will Key (KEY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$10.55
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Helen of Troy (HELE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.03
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$6.64
Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.25
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Will Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+86.9%+$15.58
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.57
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+171.4%+$27.39
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.59
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.19
Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.25
Hyperliquid Up or Down on May 10?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.94
Hyperliquid Up or Down on May 8?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will ROWDY✨ win the PvP trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$23.55
Was Milei hacked?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$14.01
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.15
NBA Finals: Will there be a Breen Bang in Game 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.19
NBA Finals: Will there be a Breen Bang in Game 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Cavaliers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.29
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. 76ers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.29
Will Jayson Tatum play a game this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+64.8%+$26.92
Will Ja Morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+218.7%+$71.34
LeBron 10+ point streak broken this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.3
Will Ja Morant get fined again this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.52
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+347.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.32
World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$25.6
World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. Olisebacked Olise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.6
World Cup: Scoreless Team?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+3,158.7%+$451.7
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$30.6
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
FIFA Friendlies Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Will Sydney Sweeney and Scooter Braun attend the Met Gala?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$16.96
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$16.28
Oscars Bingobacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.4
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?backed Avatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$27.39
Will 'Wicked: For Good – The Soundtrack' debut at No. 1 on the Billboard 200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+100.1%+$18.25
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.82
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick21cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+75.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+66.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+230.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+206.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Lane Kiffin out as Ole Miss head coach by January 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+81.5%+$44.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US fertility rate up in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.98
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+71.8%+$11.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bill Ackman tweets another manifesto by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$52.22
Ye banned on X in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick14cpaid+640.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Series Winnerbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+640.7%+$76.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+203%+$26.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+183.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a red flag during the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+183.6%+$41.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Athlete to be stripped of medal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+150.6%+$81.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump disparage Xi Jinping on Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$5.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Next dildo thrown onto WNBA court is green/yellow?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The International 2026: Comeback Against Mega Creepsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major Space Weather event this week? (March 29 - April 4)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.