Commodities · resolved market
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x710bcdc2bf5d50fb0790bd95cee7be412ca82749fb5bd633db682d18b8c25acc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $792,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $762,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $792,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 6c | 94,777$6,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,112.63 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…9293backed Yes | 2c | 30,831$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e810backed Yes | 5c | 13,219$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 4c | 13,180$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.2 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 12c | 12,526$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.17 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 5c | 12,187$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.39 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…e3e9backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…2c93backed Yes | 0c | 9,954$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 7,864$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.69 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked Yes | 14c | 7,280$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.02 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab57…0319backed Yes | 13c | 6,793$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 13c | 6,500$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…ed51backed Yes | 12c | 6,422$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 6,373$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa398…0a9cbacked Yes | 2c | 6,368$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…7418backed Yes | 2c | 6,238$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84b…7212backed Yes | 12c | 5,880$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 15c | 5,507$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 3c | 5,343$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 5,331$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.12 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a2…bd51backed Yes | 4c | 5,083$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,847$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,807$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.41 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc2…1e51backed Yes | 3c | 4,349$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d6…dd72backed Yes | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9715…4577backed Yes | 3c | 3,946$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a7…f75abacked Yes | 18c | 3,565$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…36f9backed Yes | 4c | 3,442$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…763bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,151$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe698…e111backed Yes | 3c | 3,065$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6936…0211backed Yes | 2c | 2,996$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,780$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dde…2217backed Yes | 11c | 2,754$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +325.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a32…2fcdbacked Yes | 13c | 2,689$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 2c | 2,611$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…e58fbacked Yes | 19c | 2,532$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611b…9841backed Yes | 20c | 2,520$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…dd44backed Yes | 2c | 2,503$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3140…b176backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 18c | 2,399$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.02 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…3b6fbacked Yes | 14c | 2,218$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…b2b7backed Yes | 2c | 2,138$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…ff63backed Yes | 1c | 2,055$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.56 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…a85abacked Yes | 4c | 1,978$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed73…4465backed Yes | 5c | 1,800$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Yes | 12c | 1,688$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,664$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 69 | 2.9%2 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c37…9ebfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,600$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d8…8518backed Yes | 2c | 1,535$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 1,527$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf8…3055backed Yes | 14c | 1,511$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…84edbacked Yes | 5c | 1,501$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…57c0backed Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…0dc9backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…e34cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…a18bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,395$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…740ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,393$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 12c | 1,391$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.08 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6b…e7bbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,344$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 81 | 2.5%2 W · 79 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…d439backed Yes | 3c | 1,343$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…f8f3backed Yes | 4c | 1,339$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…1b57backed Yes | 12c | 1,326$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3365…626cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,316$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 1,309$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.21 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…bd12backed Yes | 3c | 1,298$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 1,284$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135e…75cfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,276$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 2c | 1,266$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…5a08backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7063…9b11backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…61aebacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 5c | 1,093$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83b…c8a2backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…d030backed Yes | 2c | 1,052$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2b…6df5backed Yes | 4c | 1,023$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7a…ef1dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,021$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…51fbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…6f1ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c55…25c3backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…8f9abacked Yes | 2c | 999.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 999.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 8.2%6 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 998.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 3c | 993$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7b…9cd5backed Yes | 15c | 916.31$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab0…463abacked Yes | 11c | 909.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…ce87backed Yes | 1c | 882.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes | 3c | 862.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9a…1acdbacked Yes | 3c | 834.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfa…2b67backed Yes | 1c | 834.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…64a2backed Yes | 2c | 808.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…6a2abacked Yes | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd5…6be7backed Yes | 12c | 727.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.