TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9386…b2b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,463Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$2,248.26
Set 1 Winner: Fonseca vs Rinderknechbacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$79.26
Set 1 Winner: Garin vs Zverevbacked Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$105.35
Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Tabilobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.78
Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs Bergsbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$109.18
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$50.73
Campinas: Lautaro Midon vs Jose Pereirabacked Jose Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$791.12
Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Facundo Menabacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$23.79
Set 1 Winner: Pliskova vs Sasnovichbacked Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.8
Campinas: Gonzalo Bueno vs Bruno Fernandezbacked Bruno Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.85
Madrid: Calvin Hemery vs Alex Martinezbacked Calvin Hemery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$56.02
Wuning: Kody Pearson vs Zhao Zhaobacked Kody Pearson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$17.89
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.08
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Luciano Darderibacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$53.55
Campinas: Juan Bautista Torres vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.2
Sarasota: Daniil Glinka vs J.J. Wolfbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$240.57
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.48
Set 1 Winner: Vacherot vs Cerundolobacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.96
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.68
Bucharest Open: Mariano Navone vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$28.95
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Alexander Blockxbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.44
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: David Goffin vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$62.3
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Alina Charaevabacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,285Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$839.94
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$187.36
All 25 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.98
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.84
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,358Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$877.72
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,143.76
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+62.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. IK Start end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$24.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$336.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.