Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c1fde6a84218b38e56d72a3972166ab36ae559f42a7744390811211a436e15a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 1,202$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.26 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 19c | 835.68$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 33c | 791.85$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 60c | 768.58$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.63 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes | 43c | 519.79$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 26c | 488.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.75 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 29c | 404$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.84 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 344.47$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.87 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 33c | 303.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 284.4$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.39 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 71c | 252$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.92 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 223.71$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 220$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked No | 47c | 214.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…3914backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Yes | 32c | 170.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 74c | 167.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 75c | 166.4$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c01…f06cbacked Yes | 69c | 158.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 71c | 152$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…957bbacked Yes | 32c | 148.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 74c | 134.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…b2b7backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0999…016ebacked Yes | 70c | 103.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 67c | 100.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 23c | 98.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 48c | 95.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 91.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 79c | 85.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 69c | 84.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa30b…29e5backed No | 69c | 74.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 74c | 73.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes | 74c | 73.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e2…4c57backed No | 69c | 73.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes | 71c | 68.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…9a8abacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 74c | 63.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb037…e706backed Yes | 65c | 58.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…9d7cbacked Yes | 66c | 55.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 54.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 38c | 46.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 44c | 43.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa81d…7447backed Yes | 63c | 39.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 68c | 31.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b5…c197backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 24.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…a9abbacked Yes | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f9…2e72backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-06?this page
- Will Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-04-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.