TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,546 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xab82…abe5backed Yes28c167,878$46,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,804.93825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c42,850$30,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,895.027,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No72c35,000$25,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8007261.1%44 W · 28 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No72c30,712$22,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,496.365,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c20,117$14,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,614.72,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No72c7,278$5,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.8214560%87 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No72c4,393$3,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.1630656.2%172 W · 134 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No72c4,082$2,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.3432259.3%191 W · 131 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No72c4,081$2,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.1840958.9%241 W · 168 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No72c3,412$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.9998552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No72c1,999$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.949463.8%60 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes26c1,750$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.9810121.8%22 W · 79 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No72c1,583$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.6394043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No73c1,420$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.3126060.8%158 W · 102 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No72c1,014$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.7211155.9%62 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No72c949.69$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.915552.7%29 W · 26 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No72c945.21$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.76962.3%43 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No75c913.96$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.720953.1%111 W · 98 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes27c852.84$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.2964143.4%278 W · 363 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No72c776.86$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6819156.5%108 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No72c681.68$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9510360.2%62 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes28c643.57$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18058229.2%170 W · 412 L-19.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No72c566.41$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.15459.3%32 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No74c524.15$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.49644.8%43 W · 53 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No72c485.4$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9211354.9%62 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No73c471.94$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.255464.8%35 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No74c467.99$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.546759.7%40 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No73c414.17$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1710848.1%52 W · 56 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No76c411.31$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.814669.6%32 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No75c373.77$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.216958%40 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No73c325.16$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4316756.3%94 W · 73 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed No79c318.42$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.42785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No74c311.2$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9247926.9%129 W · 350 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6918849.5%93 W · 95 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6917745.2%80 W · 97 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No72c277.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0711758.1%68 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes27c263.56$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.441,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed No76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.162846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No71c260$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.42142.9%9 W · 12 L-5.2wins-0.25per pick67cpaid-35.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed No77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741560%9 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bee…dee9backed Yes24c226.05$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ef…335dbacked No76c226.05$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed No73c197.32$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.263056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked No73c180.77$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.982352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Yes28c179.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked No72c166.17$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.123363.6%21 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed No73c158.89$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.041861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No73c157.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No73c157.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No73c157.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No72c138.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6715157.6%87 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No73c138.36$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.365347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No72c137.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.955962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No73c137.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8438359.3%227 W · 156 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No73c137.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0310560%63 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No72c122.26$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2311837.3%44 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No72c110.36$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.366959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes21c109.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.852,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x834f…266ebacked No75c108.05$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.53944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked No74c103$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.78875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed No72c101.94$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.161872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2993845.4%426 W · 512 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed No74c99.38$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.841275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No72c98.25$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.178658.1%50 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No72c91.08$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2798653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No72c90.49$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.171,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed No72c87.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No73c86.66$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.539247.8%44 W · 48 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes29c82.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245020%10 W · 40 L-5.9wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Yes28c81.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012443.5%54 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No72c78.64$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.934170.7%29 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No73c74.34$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.334553.3%24 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes26c69.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9258320.1%117 W · 466 L-37.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.442540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No73c67.24$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1510958.7%64 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed No74c66.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.212433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-49.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No77c65.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8267348.1%324 W · 349 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x482c…cbe8backed No77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942152.4%11 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.20per pick72cpaid-28.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked No74c62.35$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.052365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed No73c58.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb6…c637backed No72c54.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.98757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.53441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x99f1…dd35backed No73c48.93$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ccb…604ebacked No73c48.93$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked No73c48.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.131450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked No74c34.93$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.932263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-10.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed No72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.721637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No73c34.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2910456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No73c34.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2911056.4%62 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked No73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.253452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.351154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed No72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.783557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c01…59a0backed No73c25.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddd…66e6backed No79c25.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed No74c23.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.221573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed No73c23.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.362853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3a…c1fbbacked No72c23.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.