Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Molde FK win on 2026-04-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cfb886bb72e14a838b3354783d85c6cf122cb203577ee5ef525bf12cc1e07b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 42c | 7,300$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.74 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 3,871$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.12 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 59c | 3,854$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.09 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked Yes | 32c | 3,820$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,995$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.92 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 951.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 42c | 898.56$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 41c | 815.01$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.74 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 48c | 812.11$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 4c | 805.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 3c | 800.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 3c | 790.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 3c | 760.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 602.54$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.14 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 478.22$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.48 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 3c | 413.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 396.35$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.15 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed No | 70c | 359.2$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 55c | 292.79$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes | 12c | 233.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…b09bbacked Yes | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 51c | 171.86$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 121.44$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 13c | 116.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 23c | 115$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 68c | 92.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…65ecbacked Yes | 42c | 90.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 67c | 89.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 67c | 88.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Yes | 45c | 86.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 68c | 85.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 44c | 84.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked Yes | 45c | 80.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 75.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 54c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 54c | 59.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 54c | 53.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 40c | 49.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 48.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 75c | 48.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked No | 54c | 46.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 59c | 44.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 50 | 80%40 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed No | 64c | 16.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-04-06?this page
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-06?Yes won
- Will Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.