TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7eb…615b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$394.06
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.8
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.75
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.14
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$262.2
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.86
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.48
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.9
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$178.34
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$103.76
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.01
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$288.91
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,021.13
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.89
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$429.03
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$876Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$3,735.08
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$810
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$719.02
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.54
All 25 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-67.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.68
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.04
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.3
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 0 Girona FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.98
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.02
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.63
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.47
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.69
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.08
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.6
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$703.19
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$983.1
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.36
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$728.95
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$778.16
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$697.44
Will Armenia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$400.48
Will Lithuania vs. Georgia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tunisia win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$507.17
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Iceland win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$753.94
Will Canada win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.32
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$761.12
Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.14
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$338.91
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.39
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$137.02
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Portsmouth FC vs. Oxford United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$123.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$143.39
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.09
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Famalicão vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$570.48
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$347.46
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+204.3%+$531.6
Will Molde FK win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.2
Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+77%+$161.78
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$141.77
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$177.27
Will Molde FK win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.93
Will SK Brann win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Molde FK win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$879.13
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.69
Barcelona Open: Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutetbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.54
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Kei Nishikoribacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+339.6%+$97.16
Bucharest Open: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.86
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machacbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104.95
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$217
Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Karim Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-57.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Will 70 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+238.5%+$35.77
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+86.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+101.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+89.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$105.8
Hurricanes vs. Penguinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$163.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+94.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.15
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$148.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$987.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.