Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Molde FK win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ebbb0affef9b9dde2a39b580f6596b9a1c2d618fb26fa78849930565971f6d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,169 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 23c | 9,443$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.51 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 2,564$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 20c | 1,249$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.65 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 78c | 1,116$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.09 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 1,114$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.28 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 78c | 1,064$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.75 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 1,027$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.17 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 75c | 1,000$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 75c | 826.08$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.52 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…a21fbacked Yes | 25c | 801.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 499.9$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 80c | 492.2$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 426.84$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 414.5$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 374.67$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.34 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 79c | 286.88$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 22c | 276.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 249.67$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 22c | 224.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 22c | 217.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 198.08$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 75c | 180$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 74c | 167$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked No | 76c | 161.21$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 75c | 148.65$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 79c | 144.82$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 142$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 23c | 141.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 22c | 95.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…3479backed No | 76c | 93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 75c | 82.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Yes | 23c | 69.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 22c | 69.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed No | 78c | 48.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 74c | 35.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed No | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd985…1125backed No | 78c | 21.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 77c | 19.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 79c | 15.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Viking FK vs. Molde FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Viking FK win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.