Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Viking FK vs. Molde FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x698f6aca275261a853ac5efa60ce500c2f82dcde481f36baf4a540fa74469de5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 75c | 2,214$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 1,282$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.87 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 582.02$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 23c | 468.47$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 76c | 186.77$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Yes | 25c | 147.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 24c | 133$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 80c | 110.97$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 94.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1533…ab5cbacked Yes | 25c | 93.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 78.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 25c | 66.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 26c | 62.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 76c | 26.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 19.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 76c | 18.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Viking FK vs. Molde FK end in a draw?this page
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Viking FK win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.