TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,135 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No77c16,604$12,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,737.4190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes7c5,530$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.095431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes28c3,930$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0933633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c3,896$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.024,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes10c3,779$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c2,954$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.691,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Yes6c2,222$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes9c2,130$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.422429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c1,730$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.082,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c1,301$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.2192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes16c1,251$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001711.8%2 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-67.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes28c1,249$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.835232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes18c1,000$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.9710820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes7c883$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6713230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes27c748.15$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes7c708.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7123727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed Yes28c678.57$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190120%0 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes17c670.85$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.421947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+49.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes9c650.67$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No72c650.42$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.6442851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes27c561.52$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6132645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes5c507.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3560832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Yes8c457.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352030%6 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+71%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes28c446.43$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes18c378$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1911947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes11c375.3$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.131,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes13c364.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes18c329$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.482748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8410248%49 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes27c299.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8119255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Yes17c295.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c1e…fe89backed Yes17c295.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes19c293$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.23441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…84e4backed Yes7c271.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes15c258.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.346536.9%24 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes10c249.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7526930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes19c241.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7821950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0004…80c7backed Yes14c215.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b0…7f68backed Yes8c208.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes15c201.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes14c201.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.178732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41c7…0e45backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a4…4ae6backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c178$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0653242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes17c177.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010834.3%37 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes27c175.01$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2575451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes24c175$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.465141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No74c166.31$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7917455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes9c166$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9423250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.433354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes11c135$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4574457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes35c130.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0218062.2%112 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes15c121.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186121.3%13 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38b8…f812backed Yes16c103.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.65556.4%31 W · 24 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2748934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Yes26c99.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33ab…ef42backed Yes17c96.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.381250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8496…27b6backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Yes12c84.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.092030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes28c81.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.852250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No73c79.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.453470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes28c79.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8141147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes15c72.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.73342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef8…1583backed Yes28c72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1660%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208142%34 W · 47 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes28c71.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9328847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes17c70$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.131,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes16c68.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114822.9%11 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes28c68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.047623.7%18 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes28c67.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1916341.1%67 W · 96 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes28c64.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.163351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes27c62.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.885939%23 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e9d…1e4bbacked Yes28c55.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.46944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked No73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.791050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7a2…7589backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No75c53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2537039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes28c52.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6517032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbc…57b2backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes27c49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2320245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes27c48.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9769750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes28c45.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.731435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes27c44.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0430749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No73c43.33$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.641348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45ab…53f3backed Yes28c41.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.521010%1 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No72c36.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.19267.4%62 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No72c34.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82181%17 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No72c34.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.64351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc4…f39bbacked No73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.253348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20a4…f12dbacked Yes34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-53.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed No76c21.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.061866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked No74c16.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.224850%24 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.