TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$616,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $616,960 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0792…b778backed Yes47c160,060$75,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,875.121668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No53c47,051$24,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,936.787139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Yes46c39,480$18,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,319.141656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No53c31,281$16,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,588.1150149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No53c23,688$12,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,544.248756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No53c22,641$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.735152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No53c17,433$9,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,239.493444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No14c15,383$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,143.523,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes47c13,924$6,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,341.2614250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No30c13,900$4,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,101.6690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c13,712$7,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,410.374,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c13,263$7,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,123.131,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c12,668$6,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,746.82,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No54c10,725$5,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,791.56357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No18c10,369$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.5469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed No55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked No15c9,289$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.2811159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes46c7,293$3,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,938.4530446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6507349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No22c4,956$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.6415150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd09…05b2backed No55c4,050$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.831127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-59.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1203762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No55c3,390$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.692842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No19c3,294$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.514845.8%22 W · 26 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+249.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed No13c2,876$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.975520%11 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes80c2,687$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.478461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes45c2,581$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.2949447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.975253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x430a…a940backed No20c2,452$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick32cpaid+147.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No55c2,397$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.0492254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes47c2,289$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.313633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes70c2,287$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.649557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No56c2,222$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.316740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No53c2,155$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.153438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82eb…9287backed Yes80c1,980$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.45366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No55c1,881$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.311942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No10c1,872$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.171,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Yes45c1,778$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.781080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+57.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No27c1,700$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4595764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No8c1,614$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6379133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No22c1,575$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34021641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes44c1,400$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2fc…a7c1backed Yes73c1,374$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes45c1,251$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.115232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No8c1,189$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes48c1,040$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.811333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes79c1,007$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3849057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5508245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.999530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes46c979.62$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.6210250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No15c951.05$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6513230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked No53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No53c936.17$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.5321355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked No22c892.85$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.584663%29 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes77c852.52$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19460732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No56c846.43$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4741233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No54c844.44$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4565349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No23c810$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7326930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x62c0…06a0backed No8c777$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed No29c723.11$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.24650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No53c700$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37112954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No53c644.8$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.5633734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No9c629.78$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.891,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No29c629.55$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2563553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc550…8e46backed No55c595.51$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.531330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No26c592.54$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8311336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9211457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked No53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Yes77c529.99$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.071662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No53c500.03$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.7642851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28010046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2807553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7861…3d27backed Yes51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+63.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No54c458.76$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.7520245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8fb…72cdbacked Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.552254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Yes44c450.25$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.144443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.442254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Yes45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.442733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No8c411$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.794936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked No57c400.21$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed No19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.591154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed No5c399.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202924.1%7 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+92.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe08…10ebbacked No56c389.2$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.951650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No56c386.05$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.910268.6%70 W · 32 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No53c382.54$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.7532545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c370$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.150243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed No19c361.28$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.416536.9%24 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes80c355.23$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0574457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf5…bbc3backed No57c353.69$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65dc…aad2backed No57c353.32$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9fe…42d5backed No57c349.67$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf21e…1638backed Yes44c346.98$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5852…e7c9backed Yes44c344.17$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…9f60backed Yes44c342.92$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf230…66cdbacked No6c342.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.